773  
FXUS64 KOHX 041610  
AFDOHX  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN  
1110 AM CDT MON AUG 4 2025  
   
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM  
 
   
KEY MESSAGES  
 
UPDATED AT 1110 AM CDT MON AUG 4 2025  
 
- BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES WILL CONTINUE  
THROUGH MID-WEEK, THEN THERE WILL BE MORE SUNSHINE AND A  
GRADUAL WARMING TREND LATE WEEK.  
 
- LOW TO MEDIUM CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS  
THROUGH THE NEXT 7 DAYS. THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM THREAT IS VERY  
LOW.  
 
 
   
SHORT TERM  
 
(REST OF TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)  
ISSUED AT 1110 AM CDT MON AUG 4 2025  
 
CONDITIONS THIS MONDAY ARE NOT QUITE AS DRIPPY AND GLOOMY AS THE  
EAST HALF OF OUR AREA SAW YESTERDAY, BUT THERE WAS STILL A GOOD  
DEAL OF CLOUDINESS HELPING KEEP TEMPERATURES COOLER THAN NORMAL.  
LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE WAS FOCUSED ALONG AN INVERTED TROUGH  
YESTERDAY, AND THAT TROUGH HAS SHIFTED WEST AND WEAKENED TODAY.  
STILL, WE MAY HAVE A A FEW LITTLE SHOWERS OR A VERY ISOLATED  
THUNDERSTORM THIS AFTERNOON.  
 
FOR TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY, WE WILL KEEP LOW LEVEL MOIST AIR  
IN PLACE WITH A WEAK UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVERHEAD. THIS WILL BRING  
CONTINUED BELOW-NORMAL TEMPS, MORE THAN USUAL CLOUD COVER, AND  
GENERALLY LOW SHOWER CHANCES, MAINLY EACH AFTERNOON. OVERNIGHT  
CONDITIONS WILL BE MAINLY CLOUDY WITH PATCHES OF FOG, AND PERHAPS  
A FEW SPOTS OF DRIZZLE FOR THE EAST HALF.  
 
 
   
LONG TERM  
 
(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)  
ISSUED AT 1110 AM CDT MON AUG 4 2025  
 
THURSDAY LOOKS TO BE A DAY OF TRANSITION FOR US. DIURNAL SHOWERS  
AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL STILL BE AROUND, BUT WE BEGIN TO  
LOSE THE INFLUENCE OF THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGHING AS WEAK HIGH  
PRESSURE STARTS TO REASSERT ITSELF ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST UNITED  
STATES.  
 
FOR LATE WEEK THROUGH THE WEEKEND, WE WILL BE UNDER A MORE NORMAL  
PATTERN WITH HIGHS CLIMBING INTO THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. WITH  
HOTTER DAYS, THERE WILL BE MORE INSTABILITY AND GREATER CHANCES  
FOR THUNDERSTORMS WITH GUSTY WINDS AND DOWNPOURS (RATHER THAN JUST  
SHOWERS AS WE SAW YESTERDAY). THANKFULLY WE DO NOT SEE ANY  
INDICATORS FOR WIDESPREAD OR ORGANIZED SEVERE WX AT THIS TIME.  
 
 
   
AVIATION  
 
(12Z TAFS)  
ISSUED AT 625 AM CDT MON AUG 4 2025  
 
MVFR CIGS HAVE TAKEN OVER MIDDLE TN THIS MORNING AND THIS IS  
EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH 16-18Z. WINDS ARE FORECAST TO FAVOR SE  
AT 5-7 KTS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WITH VFR, THOUGH CONTINUED CLOUD  
PRESENCE 040-060. RAIN CHANCES ARE ~20% OR LESS FOR THE AFTERNOON,  
SO NO TAF MENTION (THUNDER CHANCES ARE LOW AS WELL). MVFR MAKES A  
RETURN TO THE AREA TONIGHT, WITH IFR/LIFR CIG/VIS LOOKING LIKELY  
FOR CSV.  
 
 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS  
 
NASHVILLE 83 69 86 69 / 20 20 30 20  
CLARKSVILLE 83 66 85 68 / 30 20 20 10  
CROSSVILLE 77 61 78 63 / 30 30 50 20  
COLUMBIA 81 64 85 67 / 20 20 20 10  
COOKEVILLE 79 64 81 66 / 30 30 40 30  
JAMESTOWN 78 63 79 64 / 40 40 50 30  
LAWRENCEBURG 80 64 84 66 / 20 20 20 10  
MURFREESBORO 83 66 86 68 / 20 20 30 20  
WAVERLY 82 65 85 67 / 20 20 20 20  
 
 
   
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES  
 
NONE.  
 
 
 
 
SHORT TERM...13  
LONG TERM....13  
AVIATION.....SIZEMORE  
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