291  
FXUS64 KOHX 041726  
AFDOHX  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN  
1226 PM CDT MON AUG 4 2025  
   
..NEW AVIATION  
 
   
KEY MESSAGES  
 
UPDATED AT 1223 PM CDT MON AUG 4 2025  
 
- BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES WILL CONTINUE  
THROUGH MID-WEEK, THEN THERE WILL BE MORE SUNSHINE AND A  
GRADUAL WARMING TREND LATE WEEK.  
 
- LOW TO MEDIUM CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS  
THROUGH THE NEXT 7 DAYS. THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM THREAT IS VERY  
LOW.  
 
 
   
SHORT TERM  
 
(REST OF TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)  
ISSUED AT 1110 AM CDT MON AUG 4 2025  
 
CONDITIONS THIS MONDAY ARE NOT QUITE AS DRIPPY AND GLOOMY AS THE  
EAST HALF OF OUR AREA SAW YESTERDAY, BUT THERE WAS STILL A GOOD  
DEAL OF CLOUDINESS HELPING KEEP TEMPERATURES COOLER THAN NORMAL.  
LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE WAS FOCUSED ALONG AN INVERTED TROUGH  
YESTERDAY, AND THAT TROUGH HAS SHIFTED WEST AND WEAKENED TODAY.  
STILL, WE MAY HAVE A A FEW LITTLE SHOWERS OR A VERY ISOLATED  
THUNDERSTORM THIS AFTERNOON.  
 
FOR TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY, WE WILL KEEP LOW LEVEL MOIST AIR  
IN PLACE WITH A WEAK UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVERHEAD. THIS WILL BRING  
CONTINUED BELOW-NORMAL TEMPS, MORE THAN USUAL CLOUD COVER, AND  
GENERALLY LOW SHOWER CHANCES, MAINLY EACH AFTERNOON. OVERNIGHT  
CONDITIONS WILL BE MAINLY CLOUDY WITH PATCHES OF FOG, AND PERHAPS  
A FEW SPOTS OF DRIZZLE FOR THE EAST HALF.  
 
 
   
LONG TERM  
 
(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)  
ISSUED AT 1110 AM CDT MON AUG 4 2025  
 
THURSDAY LOOKS TO BE A DAY OF TRANSITION FOR US. DIURNAL SHOWERS  
AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL STILL BE AROUND, BUT WE BEGIN TO  
LOSE THE INFLUENCE OF THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGHING AS WEAK HIGH  
PRESSURE STARTS TO REASSERT ITSELF ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST UNITED  
STATES.  
 
FOR LATE WEEK THROUGH THE WEEKEND, WE WILL BE UNDER A MORE NORMAL  
PATTERN WITH HIGHS CLIMBING INTO THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. WITH  
HOTTER DAYS, THERE WILL BE MORE INSTABILITY AND GREATER CHANCES  
FOR THUNDERSTORMS WITH GUSTY WINDS AND DOWNPOURS (RATHER THAN JUST  
SHOWERS AS WE SAW YESTERDAY). THANKFULLY WE DO NOT SEE ANY  
INDICATORS FOR WIDESPREAD OR ORGANIZED SEVERE WX AT THIS TIME.  
 
 
   
AVIATION  
 
(18Z TAFS)  
ISSUED AT 1223 PM CDT MON AUG 4 2025  
 
MVFR CIGS ARE EXPECTED TO GIVE WAY TO VFR EARLY THIS AFTERNOON AT  
THE TAF SITES. MVFR CIGS WILL DEVELOP AGAIN OVERNIGHT AND LINGER  
THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. CIGS AT CSV ARE EXPECTED TO DROP TO IFR  
AND POSSIBLY LIFR. THERE IS A LOW TO MEDIUM CHANCE OF <1SM VIS  
DEVELOPING AFTER 09Z AT CSV. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE A SHOWER  
IMPACTS A TERMINAL THIS AFTERNOON BUT ANY SHOWER ACTIVITY IS  
EXPECTED TO BE ISOLATED, LIGHT, AND WITHOUT LIGHTNING. WINDS WILL  
BE AROUND 7 KTS OR LESS THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD OUT OF THE  
SE/ESE.  
 
 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS  
 
NASHVILLE 69 86 69 88 / 20 30 20 30  
CLARKSVILLE 66 85 68 87 / 20 20 10 20  
CROSSVILLE 61 78 63 80 / 30 50 20 60  
COLUMBIA 64 85 67 87 / 20 20 10 30  
COOKEVILLE 64 81 66 82 / 30 40 30 50  
JAMESTOWN 63 79 64 80 / 40 50 30 60  
LAWRENCEBURG 64 84 66 85 / 20 20 10 30  
MURFREESBORO 66 86 68 87 / 20 30 20 40  
WAVERLY 65 85 67 87 / 20 20 20 20  
 
 
   
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES  
 
NONE.  
 
 
 
 
SHORT TERM...13  
LONG TERM....13  
AVIATION.....REAGAN  
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