790
FXUS64 KOHX 042318
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
618 PM CDT MON AUG 4 2025
..NEW UPDATE
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 616 PM CDT MON AUG 4 2025
- BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH MID-WEEK, THEN THERE WILL BE MORE SUNSHINE AND A
GRADUAL WARMING TREND LATE WEEK.
- LOW TO MEDIUM CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS
THROUGH THE NEXT 7 DAYS. THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM THREAT IS VERY
LOW.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 616 PM CDT MON AUG 4 2025
EXPECTING A QUIET EVENING AHEAD. POPS WERE A LITTLE HIGH ON THE
PLATEAU FOR CURRENT CONDITIONS, SO HAVE BACKED THEM OUT OF CHANCE
CATS AND WHILE A SHOWER OR TWO IS POSSIBLE IN THAT PART OF THE
CWA, MOST WILL REMAIN DRY. CLOUDS WILL PERSIST, HOWEVER, ALONG
WITH THESE FABULOUS TEMPERATURES. ENJOY THE EVENING!
SHORT TERM
(REST OF TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1110 AM CDT MON AUG 4 2025
CONDITIONS THIS MONDAY ARE NOT QUITE AS DRIPPY AND GLOOMY AS THE
EAST HALF OF OUR AREA SAW YESTERDAY, BUT THERE WAS STILL A GOOD
DEAL OF CLOUDINESS HELPING KEEP TEMPERATURES COOLER THAN NORMAL.
LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE WAS FOCUSED ALONG AN INVERTED TROUGH
YESTERDAY, AND THAT TROUGH HAS SHIFTED WEST AND WEAKENED TODAY.
STILL, WE MAY HAVE A A FEW LITTLE SHOWERS OR A VERY ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORM THIS AFTERNOON.
FOR TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY, WE WILL KEEP LOW LEVEL MOIST AIR
IN PLACE WITH A WEAK UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVERHEAD. THIS WILL BRING
CONTINUED BELOW-NORMAL TEMPS, MORE THAN USUAL CLOUD COVER, AND
GENERALLY LOW SHOWER CHANCES, MAINLY EACH AFTERNOON. OVERNIGHT
CONDITIONS WILL BE MAINLY CLOUDY WITH PATCHES OF FOG, AND PERHAPS
A FEW SPOTS OF DRIZZLE FOR THE EAST HALF.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1110 AM CDT MON AUG 4 2025
THURSDAY LOOKS TO BE A DAY OF TRANSITION FOR US. DIURNAL SHOWERS
AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL STILL BE AROUND, BUT WE BEGIN TO
LOSE THE INFLUENCE OF THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGHING AS WEAK HIGH
PRESSURE STARTS TO REASSERT ITSELF ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST UNITED
STATES.
FOR LATE WEEK THROUGH THE WEEKEND, WE WILL BE UNDER A MORE NORMAL
PATTERN WITH HIGHS CLIMBING INTO THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. WITH
HOTTER DAYS, THERE WILL BE MORE INSTABILITY AND GREATER CHANCES
FOR THUNDERSTORMS WITH GUSTY WINDS AND DOWNPOURS (RATHER THAN JUST
SHOWERS AS WE SAW YESTERDAY). THANKFULLY WE DO NOT SEE ANY
INDICATORS FOR WIDESPREAD OR ORGANIZED SEVERE WX AT THIS TIME.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1223 PM CDT MON AUG 4 2025
MVFR CIGS ARE EXPECTED TO GIVE WAY TO VFR EARLY THIS AFTERNOON AT
THE TAF SITES. MVFR CIGS WILL DEVELOP AGAIN OVERNIGHT AND LINGER
THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. CIGS AT CSV ARE EXPECTED TO DROP TO IFR
AND POSSIBLY LIFR. THERE IS A LOW TO MEDIUM CHANCE OF <1SM VIS
DEVELOPING AFTER 09Z AT CSV. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE A SHOWER
IMPACTS A TERMINAL THIS AFTERNOON BUT ANY SHOWER ACTIVITY IS
EXPECTED TO BE ISOLATED, LIGHT, AND WITHOUT LIGHTNING. WINDS WILL
BE AROUND 7 KTS OR LESS THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD OUT OF THE
SE/ESE.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 69 87 70 88 / 20 30 10 30
CLARKSVILLE 67 86 69 87 / 20 20 10 20
CROSSVILLE 61 79 64 80 / 20 50 30 60
COLUMBIA 65 86 67 87 / 10 20 10 30
COOKEVILLE 65 81 66 82 / 20 40 30 50
JAMESTOWN 64 81 65 80 / 20 50 30 60
LAWRENCEBURG 64 84 66 85 / 10 20 10 30
MURFREESBORO 66 86 68 87 / 20 30 20 40
WAVERLY 66 86 67 87 / 20 20 10 20
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
UPDATE.......UNGER
SHORT TERM...13
LONG TERM....13
AVIATION.....REAGAN
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