189
FXUS64 KOHX 060528
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1228 AM CDT WED AUG 6 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1228 AM CDT WED AUG 6 2025
- AFTER SEVERAL COOLER THAN NORMAL DAYS, TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB
TO NORMAL LEVELS LATE THIS WEEK. HUMIDITY WILL BE TOLERABLE.
- A 20 TO 40 PERCENT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MOST
DAYS THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD MAINLY IN THE CUMBERLAND
PLATEAU. THE SEVERE STORM THREAT IS VERY LOW.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1020 PM CDT TUE AUG 5 2025
EXPECT PLEASANT TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE NIGHT WITH WIDESPREAD
FOG INCREASING INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS ACROSS THE CWA.
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE TOMORROW WITH EXPECTED
HIGHS IN THE MID TO HIGH 80S EVERYWHERE EXCEPT THE PLATEAU, WHERE
HIGHS WILL REMAIN IN THE LOWER 80S. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES REMAIN
MINIMAL ACROSS MOST OF THE CWA, BUT PARTS OF THE PLATEAU WILL SEE
PRECIPITATION CHANCES UP TO 60%. TOMORROW NIGHT WILL BE A REPEAT
OF THE SAME, WITH MORE PATCHY FOG CHANCES ACROSS MOST OF MIDDLE
TENNESSEE.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1020 PM CDT TUE AUG 5 2025
TEMPERATURES HAVE ALREADY BEGUN INCREASING, AND THAT TREND WILL
CONTINUE GRADUALLY OVER THE NEXT WEEK. A RIDGE SETTLING IN THE
SOUTHWESTERN US IS PUSHING IN THESE HIGHER TEMPERATURES, SHIFTING
AWAY OUR CURRENT WEAK TROUGHING. ADDITIONALLY, THUNDERSTORM
CHANCES WILL REMAIN LOW OUTSIDE OF THE PLATEAU INTO THE WEEKEND.
ON MONDAY, ANOTHER TROUGH WILL APPROACH THE AREA. PRECIPITATION
CHANCES WILL INCREASE TO AROUND 20-40% ACROSS THE WHOLE CWA INTO
TUESDAY. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE A THREAT EARLY NEXT
WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL STILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL DESPITE THE
TROUGH, WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW 90S AND HEAT INDICES
APPROACHING THE HIGH 90S (AND LOWER 100S IN SOME PLACES) IN MIDDLE
TN.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1228 AM CDT WED AUG 6 2025
VFR CONDITIONS CURRENTLY PREVAIL, BUT CIGS AND VIS HAVE ALREADY
STARTED FALLING ON THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU. LOOK FOR CSV/SRB TO
CATCH THE WORST OF IT WITH LIFR TO VLIFR CATS IN THE OVERNIGHT/MORNING
HOURS WITH THESE SLOWLY IMPROVING BACK TO VFR BY EARLY AFTERNOON.
MQY/CKV SHOULD SEE SOME MVFR FOG AFTER 08Z. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT
AND VRB ALL AROUND MIDDLE TENNESSEE.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 90 72 91 71 / 10 0 0 0
CLARKSVILLE 90 69 91 69 / 10 0 0 0
CROSSVILLE 82 64 83 65 / 40 10 60 0
COLUMBIA 88 69 90 68 / 20 0 0 0
COOKEVILLE 85 66 86 67 / 30 10 30 0
JAMESTOWN 83 64 83 65 / 40 10 40 0
LAWRENCEBURG 88 68 88 68 / 20 0 0 0
MURFREESBORO 90 69 91 69 / 20 0 0 0
WAVERLY 88 69 91 68 / 10 0 0 0
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...DELCONTE
LONG TERM....DELCONTE
AVIATION.....HOLLEY
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