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FXUS64 KOHX 061652
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1152 AM CDT WED AUG 6 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1119 AM CDT WED AUG 6 2025
- AFTER SEVERAL COOLER THAN NORMAL DAYS, TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR
NORMAL THROUGH THE REST OF THIS WEEK, AND A LITTLE WARMER NEXT
WEEK. HUMIDITY WILL BE TOLERABLE BUT CREEPING UPWARD.
- LOW CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY, AND MAINLY
FOR THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU. THE SEVERE STORM THREAT IS VERY
LOW.
SHORT TERM
(REST OF TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1112 AM CDT WED AUG 6 2025
THIS MAY BE A GOOD TIME TO CHECK ON THE MENTAL WELL-BEING OF ANY
METEOROLOGIST IN YOUR LIFE, SUFFERING FROM EXTREME BOREDOM UNDER
THE CURRENT WX PATTERN. THERE ARE NO CHANGES AND NO SURPRISES IN
TODAY'S FORECAST. THE WEAK UPPER TROUGH THAT HAS BEEN OVERHEAD THE
PAST SEVERAL DAYS IS BEING NUDGED OUT BY AN EXPANDING RIDGE
CENTERED WELL TO OUR WEST. THIS CHANGE WILL END THE COOLER THAN
NORMAL PATTEN WE HAVE ENJOYED AND BRING TEMPERATURES UP TO NORMAL
THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK. THERE WILL BE ENOUGH MOISTURE AND
INSTABILITY FOR A FEW STRAY SHOWERS OR STORMS EACH AFTERNOON,
MAINLY OVER THE PLATEAU. NO SEVERE WX IS EXPECTED. THERE WILL BE
SOME PATCHY FOG EACH NIGHT.
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1112 AM CDT WED AUG 6 2025
NEXT WEEK, A NEW UPPER LEVEL RIDGE CENTER WILL DEVELOP OVER
FLORIDA. THIS WILL NUDGE OUR TEMPERATURES A DEGREE OR 2 HIGHER
AND ADD A LITTLE MORE HUMIDITY. HEAT INDEX VALUES MAY REACH 100
IN SOME SPOTS, BUT AT THIS TIME WE ARE NOT EXPECTING ANY HEAT
ADVISORY LEVEL CONDITIONS. THERE WILL BE MORE INSTABILITY AND A
TROUGH WILL PASS ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY INCREASING THE POTENTIAL
FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS ACROSS MIDDLE TENNESSEE (20 TO 40
PERCENT EACH DAY NEXT WEEK). THE ADDED INSTABILITY MAY YIELD A
FEW BRIEF STRONG STORMS WITH DOWNPOURS AND GUSTY WINDS EACH
AFTERNOON, BUT OVERALL THE SEVERE WX THREAT WILL REMAIN LOW.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1152 AM CDT WED AUG 6 2025
OVERALL WE WILL SEE VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. SCT TO
BKN CLOUDS 035-060 THIS AFTERNOON THINNING OUT SOME DURING THE
EVENING. LOW CHANCE FOR A POP UP SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM OVER THE
PLATEAU BETWEEN 18 AND 0Z. LOW CHANCE FOR PATCHY FOG TONIGHT MAINLY
OVER THE PLATEAU. LIGHT NORTHERLY WINDS UNDER 5 KNOTS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 91 71 92 72 / 20 10 10 0
CLARKSVILLE 90 69 91 69 / 10 10 10 0
CROSSVILLE 82 64 83 63 / 30 10 30 10
COLUMBIA 89 68 90 68 / 20 10 10 0
COOKEVILLE 86 66 85 67 / 20 10 20 0
JAMESTOWN 83 64 84 65 / 30 10 30 10
LAWRENCEBURG 88 68 89 68 / 20 10 20 0
MURFREESBORO 90 69 91 69 / 20 10 10 0
WAVERLY 89 68 90 69 / 10 10 10 0
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...13
LONG TERM....13
AVIATION.....MUELLER
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