536
FXUS64 KOHX 070544
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1244 AM CDT THU AUG 7 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1244 AM CDT THU AUG 7 2025
- TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT OR JUST ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS THROUGH
THE REST OF THIS WEEK, AND A LITTLE WARMER NEXT WEEK. HUMIDITY
WILL BE TOLERABLE BUT CREEPING UPWARD TOWARD THE END OF THE
7-DAY FORECAST PERIOD.
- THERE ARE VERY LOW CHANCES FOR RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH
THE WEEKEND, BUT RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE SOMEWHAT STARTING ON
MONDAY. THE SEVERE STORM THREAT IS VERY LOW FOR THE FORESEEABLE
FUTURE.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1014 PM CDT WED AUG 6 2025
MIDDLE TENNESSEE FINDS ITSELF WEDGED BETWEEN A SURFACE RIDGE OF
HIGH PRESSURE TO THE SOUTHEAST AND AN UPPER RIDGE TO OUR
NORTHWEST. NEEDLESS TO SAY, ONLY ISOLATED CONVECTION WAS ABLE TO
DEVELOP IN WHAT WAS A MINIMALLY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT THIS
AFTERNOON, AND OUR CHANCES FOR CONVECTION WILL REMAIN AT A NADIR
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THERE MAY BE AN ISOLATED CELL OR TWO MAINLY
ALONG THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU IN COMING DAYS, BUT IT IS GOING TO BE
SOME TIME BEFORE MOST OF THE MID STATE SEES APPRECIABLE RAINFALL.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1014 PM CDT WED AUG 6 2025
WE CAN EXPECT VERY LITTLE CHANGE IN AIR MASS CHARACTERISTICS
UNTIL AT LEAST MONDAY, WHEN HIGH PRESSURE BECOMES MORE
ESTABLISHED TO OUR EAST AND HELPS PULL DEEPER MOISTURE NORTHWARD
INTO MIDDLE TENNESSEE. SO LOOK FOR SCATTERED CONVECTION TO RETURN
TO THE FORECAST AFTER THIS WEEKEND, ALTHOUGH TOTAL QPF VALUES WILL
REMAIN UNDER 1/2" FOR THE GREATER PORTION OF MIDDLE TENNESSEE
THROUGH DAY 8. MEANWHILE, TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY CREEP
UPWARD NEXT WEEK, SO THAT BY WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY, MANY AREAS
WEST OF THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU CAN EXPECT HEAT INDICES OF 100F,
BUT PROBABLY NOT REACHING 105F.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1244 AM CDT THU AUG 7 2025
MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR THIS TAF PERIOD. EXCEPTIONS
SHOULD BE CSV/SRB WHERE IFR CIGS WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN TONIGHT,
RETURNED TO VFR 13-14Z TODAY. ISOLATED SHOWERS WILL ONCE AGAIN BE
POSSIBLE THURSDAY AFTERNOON, BUT COVERAGE DOESN'T WARRANT
PREVAILING LINES. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND VRB.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 92 72 92 72 / 10 10 0 0
CLARKSVILLE 92 70 92 71 / 10 0 0 0
CROSSVILLE 83 64 84 64 / 20 10 0 0
COLUMBIA 90 69 90 69 / 10 10 0 0
COOKEVILLE 85 67 86 67 / 10 0 0 0
JAMESTOWN 84 65 84 66 / 20 10 0 0
LAWRENCEBURG 89 68 89 68 / 10 10 0 0
MURFREESBORO 91 69 91 70 / 10 10 0 0
WAVERLY 91 69 91 69 / 10 0 0 0
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...ROSE
LONG TERM....ROSE
AVIATION.....HOLLEY
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