246
FXUS64 KOHX 291706
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1206 PM CDT FRI AUG 29 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1200 PM CDT FRI AUG 29 2025
- SEASONAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH SOME COOLING NEXT
WEEK.
- A GENERALLY DRY PATTERN WILL LAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND. EXPECT
LOW TO MEDIUM RAIN CHANCES FROM LABOR DAY INTO THURSDAY, THEN
DRY CONDITIONS RETURN.
SHORT TERM
(REST OF TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1014 AM CDT FRI AUG 29 2025
QUITE WEATHER CONTINUES HEADING INTO THE WEEKEND AS SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE REMAINS OVERHEAD. ALOFT, IN THE MID-LEVELS, A TROUGH
DRAPES OVER THE NE WHILE A RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS.
THIS KEEPS TN STUCK IN THE MIDDLE OF THE TWO FEATURES, PROMOTING
THAT DRY NW FLOW WE'VE BEEN SEEING. HIGHS THIS AFTERNOON CLIMB
INTO THE UPPER 80S AND AGAIN ON SATURDAY, BUT AS WE'VE BEEN
SEEING, DEWPOINTS ARE IN THE 50S ALLOWING FOR THAT DRY HEAT
FEELING. WITH THAT DRY AIR ALOFT, SUNNY SKIES WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH SATURDAY. OVERNIGHT, LOWS DIP DOWN INTO THE 50S, JUST
ENOUGH FOR SOME TO GRAB A LIGHT JACKET. WINDS AREN'T TOO STRONG
TODAY, BUT WILL PICK UP SLIGHTLY ON SATURDAY WITH INCREASED FLOW
ALOFT. LOOKING AT NE WINDS AROUND 10 MPH, GUSTING AROUND 12-15 MPH
THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1014 AM CDT FRI AUG 29 2025
BY EARLY NEXT WEEK, THE RIDGE BECOMES MORE AMPLIFIED OVER THE WEST
WHILE A FEW SHORT WAVES SWING THROUGH THE TROUGH. THIS BRINGS SOME
LOW TO MEDIUM CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
UNDER THIS PATTERN WE WILL SEE TEMPERATURES DROP BACK INTO THE
70S AND LOW 80S DURING THE DAY WHILE OVERNIGHT LOWS REMAIN ABOUT
THE SAME IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOW 60S. AT THIS TIME, WEDNESDAY
LOOKS TO OFFER THE MOST WIDESPREAD CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AS OUR
MOISTURE SUPPORT AND MID-LEVEL FLOW INCREASES. A COLD FRONT
PASSES THROUGH BY THE END OF THE WEEK BRINGING MORE DRY WEATHER,
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S, AND OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW
50S.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1200 PM CDT FRI AUG 29 2025
SURFACE RIDGE IS BUILDING INTO MIDDLE TENNESSEE TODAY, HENCE THE
SUNSHINE AND LIGHT WIND. THE ATMOSPHERE ACROSS THE MID STATE
REMAINS DRY AND STABLE, SO THE TAFS ARE VFR.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 63 89 61 88 / 0 0 0 0
CLARKSVILLE 59 88 59 87 / 0 0 0 0
CROSSVILLE 56 81 55 80 / 0 0 0 10
COLUMBIA 60 90 59 88 / 0 0 0 0
COOKEVILLE 58 83 57 82 / 0 0 0 10
JAMESTOWN 56 80 55 80 / 0 0 0 10
LAWRENCEBURG 58 87 58 86 / 0 0 0 0
MURFREESBORO 59 88 59 87 / 0 0 0 0
WAVERLY 60 88 58 87 / 0 0 0 0
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...CRAVENS
LONG TERM....CRAVENS
AVIATION.....ROSE
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