035
FXUS64 KOHX 310156
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
856 PM CDT SAT AUG 30 2025
..NEW UPDATE
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 852 PM CDT SAT AUG 30 2025
- SEASONAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH COOLING NEXT
WEEK.
- A GENERALLY DRY PATTERN WILL LAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
- LOW TO MEDIUM RAIN CHANCES FROM LABOR DAY INTO THURSDAY, THEN
DRY CONDITIONS RETURN.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 852 PM CDT SAT AUG 30 2025
VERY DRY AIR REMAINS IN PLACE THIS EVENING WITH CLEAR TO PARTLY
CLOUDY SKIES. NO CHANGES ARE NEEDED TO THE FORECAST THIS EVENING
WITH TEMPS MOSTLY UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S, HEADING DOWN INTO THE
50S BY DAYBREAK. THE FORECAST FOR SUNDAY CONTINUES TO LOOK DRY
WITH A BIT MORE HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS THAN WE SAW TODAY, SO HIGH TEMPS
MAY BACK OFF A DEGREE OR 2 COMPARED TO TODAY'S HIGHS.
SHORT TERM
(REST OF TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1048 AM CDT SAT AUG 30 2025
OUR PLEASANT WEATHER CONTINUES THROUGH SUNDAY AS SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE REMAINS OVERHEAD. WITH SUNNY SKIES THIS AFTERNOON, HIGH
TEMPERATURES ARE FORECASTED TO REACH AROUND 90 DEGREES FOR MOST OF
THE CWA, WEST OF THE PLATEAU. OUR FOLKS ALONG THE PLATEAU CAN
EXPECT SLIGHTLY COOLER HIGHS TODAY, GENERALLY IN THE LOW TO MID
80S. TONIGHT, CLEAR SKIES WILL PROMOTE EFFICIENT COOLING,
ALLOWING FOR LOWS TO DROP INTO THE 50S ONCE AGAIN. AS WE GO INTO
SUNDAY, JUST COPY AND PASTE TODAY'S FORECAST TO SUNDAY AS OUR HIGH
PRESSURE HANGS ON FOR ONE MORE DAY.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1048 AM CDT SAT AUG 30 2025
NOT MUCH CHANGE IN THINKING FOR NEXT WEEKS FORECAST. LONG WAVE
TROUGHING LOOKS TO SET UP OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE US MONDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY. THERE WILL BE A FEW SHORTWAVES THAT DEVELOP
ALONG THE TROUGH BEFORE ANOTHER TROUGH DIGS SOUTH ON THURSDAY.
THIS PATTERN WILL BRING LOW TO MEDIUM CHANCES FOR SHOWERS EACH
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WITH INCREASED CLOUD COVER, INSTABILITY
WILL BE LIMITED KEEPING THE THUNDERSTORM THREAT LOW. THAT SAID, A
FEW STORMS CAN'T BE RULED OUT AFTER PEAK HEATING IN THE
AFTERNOONS. A MORE ORGANIZED LINE OF STORMS ALONG A COLD FRONT
DROP SOUTH TOWARDS MIDDLE TN ON THURSDAY. AS OF RIGHT NOW, THIS
LINE LOOKS TO WEAKEN BEFORE MAKING INTO TN, OFFERING SOME
SCATTERED SHOWERS. RAIN TOTALS MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY WILL
GENERALLY RANGE FROM 0.40-1.40". BY FRIDAY, A TROUGHING PATTERN
SETS BACK UP HEADING INTO THE WEEKEND. THIS BRINGS BACK OUR LOW
HUMIDITY WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S TO LOW 80S.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 622 PM CDT SAT AUG 30 2025
VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD AT ALL TAF SITES. CEILINGS
EXPECTED TO BECOME BKN TOMORROW MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS,
BUT WINDS SHOULD REMAIN FROM THE NORTH AROUND 5 - 10 KNOTS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 60 87 63 86 / 0 0 0 30
CLARKSVILLE 58 86 58 87 / 0 0 0 20
CROSSVILLE 55 79 58 76 / 0 10 10 40
COLUMBIA 58 87 60 85 / 0 0 0 30
COOKEVILLE 56 81 60 78 / 0 0 10 40
JAMESTOWN 55 80 57 76 / 0 0 10 40
LAWRENCEBURG 57 86 60 82 / 0 0 0 40
MURFREESBORO 58 86 60 84 / 0 0 10 40
WAVERLY 58 86 58 86 / 0 0 0 20
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
UPDATE.......13
SHORT TERM...CRAVENS
LONG TERM....CRAVENS
AVIATION.....HOLLEY
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