163
FXUS64 KOHX 010503
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1203 AM CDT MON SEP 1 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1201 AM CDT MON SEP 1 2025
- LOW TO MEDIUM RAIN CHANCES RETURN TO THE FORECAST STARTING ON LABOR
DAY. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED.
- TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S FOR HIGHS THROUGH THE
FORECAST PERIOD.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1028 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2025
SATELLITE SHOWS SOME MID TO UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS MOVING IN FROM THE NW
THIS EVENING. EXPECT OVERNIGHT LOWS TO DIP INTO THE UPPER 50S AND
LOW 60S. LABOR DAY SHOULD BE QUIET FOR MANY OF US, WITH HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S TO UPPER 80S. HOWEVER, RAIN CHANCES INCREASE IN THE
AFTERNOON FOR AREAS MAINLY SOUTH OF I-40 AND EAST OF I-65. THIS
INCREASE IN RAIN CHANCES IS DUE TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF AN INVERTED
SURFACE TROUGH OVER THE REGION. IF YOU PLAN ON ENJOYING LABOR DAY
OUTSIDE, JUST BE AWARE OF YOUR THUNDERSTORM RISK FOR THE DAY AND
KNOW WHERE TO SHELTER IF THUNDER ROARS!
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1028 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2025
GUIDANCE SHOWS THAT RAIN CHANCES WILL ONLY INCREASE INTO THE WORK
WEEK. TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY LOOKS LIKE OUR GREATEST RISK, WITH A
MEDIUM-HIGH (70-80%) CHANCE OF A WETTING RAIN, WHICH IS AT LEAST
0.10". ONCE YOU BUMP UP ACCUMULATION TO HALF AN INCH, CHANCES DROP
INTO THE LOW CATEGORY (20-30%). THURSDAY BRINGS ANOTHER OPPORTUNITY
FOR LOW TO MEDIUM RAIN CHANCES, BUT AFTER THAT, THINGS DRY OUT.
TEMPERATURES LOOK TO STAY IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S THROUGH THE
WORK WEEK, ADDING TO DAYS WITH BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR THIS
TIME OF YEAR.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1201 AM CDT MON SEP 1 2025
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. NORTHEASTERLY
WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHEASTERLY STARTING AROUND 15Z. THERE'S A LOW
CHANCE FOR SHOWERS MONDAY AFTERNOON, HOWEVER, CONFIDENCE REMAINS
TOO LOW IN ANY DIRECT IMPACTS TO TERMINALS TO MENTION IN TAFS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 86 64 80 64 / 30 40 50 50
CLARKSVILLE 88 63 81 60 / 10 40 50 40
CROSSVILLE 76 58 72 57 / 30 40 50 40
COLUMBIA 86 63 81 62 / 30 50 50 50
COOKEVILLE 79 60 74 59 / 30 40 50 40
JAMESTOWN 76 58 72 58 / 30 30 50 40
LAWRENCEBURG 84 61 79 60 / 40 50 50 50
MURFREESBORO 84 62 80 62 / 30 40 50 50
WAVERLY 87 62 81 60 / 10 40 50 40
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...HOLLEY
LONG TERM....HOLLEY
AVIATION.....CLEMENTS
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