623
FXUS64 KOHX 080328
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1028 PM CDT TUE OCT 7 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1022 PM CDT TUE OCT 7 2025
- NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT WEEK WITH DRY
CONDITIONS PREVAILING.
- COOLER TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK
WILL RETURN TO THE 80S NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1022 PM CDT TUE OCT 7 2025
A COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE MAKING ITS WAY THROUGH THE AREA TONIGHT.
WHILE IT DOES SO, THERE DOES REMAIN LOW CHANCES (10-20%) FOR
LIGHT SHOWERS OVERNIGHT, MAINLY ALONG THE PLATEAU. BUT BY
DAYBREAK, THE FRONT WILL HAVE CLEARED THE AREA, AND DRY CONDITIONS
WILL ONCE AGAIN MAKE THEIR RETURN TO MIDDLE TN. NORTHERLY WINDS
POST-FRONT WILL BE BRISK WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS OF 15-25 MPH, AND
TEMPERATURES WILL BE MUCH COOLER WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S. CLOUD
COVER WILL BE PERSISTENT THROUGHOUT MUCH OF THE DAY WEDNESDAY, BUT
WILL CLEAR BY THE EVENING HOURS. WITH A MUCH COOLER AIRMASS IN
PLACE AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES, LOWS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND INTO
THURSDAY MORNING WILL BE CHILLY WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING INTO THE
MID AND UPPER-40S FOR MUCH OF THE AREA. CALM WEATHER CONTINUES
INTO THURSDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER-60S ALONG THE UPPER PLATEAU
AND IN THE 70S ELSEWHERE.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1022 PM CDT TUE OCT 7 2025
A BENIGN WEATHER PATTERN PERSISTS THROUGH THE LONG-TERM AS WEAK
RIDGING RESULTS IN A GRADUAL WARM-UP. HIGHS EACH DAY WILL WARM A FEW
DEGREES SO THAT BY SUNDAY, MANY LOCATIONS WILL BE NEAR 80 ONCE
AGAIN. AND TEMPERATURES WILL EVEN BE IN THE MID-80S DURING THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. AS FOR RAIN, THERE'S NONE IN THE FORECAST
THROUGH AT LEAST WEDNESDAY AND LIKELY BEYOND AS RIDGING DOMINATES.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1022 PM CDT TUE OCT 7 2025
A SURFACE COLD FRONT HAS MADE ALMOST ALL THE WAY THROUGH MIDDLE
TENNESSEE AS WE HEAD INTO THE EVENING. THERE ARE SOME LINGERING
SHOWERS STILL IMPACTING THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU, BUT FOR THE BULK
OF THE MID STATE, THE SHOWERS HAVE ENDED. THERE WILL BE A BREAK OF
A FEW HOURS BETWEEN THE FROPA AND THE ONSET OF LOW CEILINGS AS A
SWATH OF POST-FRONTAL MOISTURE SWINGS THROUGH THE REGION BEGINNING
LATER THIS EVENING. OVERNIGHT RADIATION FOG WILL BE PRESENT BUT
LIMITED OWING TO WINDS STAYING UP A FEW KNOTS WITH THE WIND SHIFT.
LOW CEILINGS WILL BE SLOW TO ERODE DURING THE DAY TOMORROW.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 64 76 50 74 / 20 0 0 0
CLARKSVILLE 61 76 48 73 / 10 0 0 0
CROSSVILLE 62 70 45 69 / 60 10 0 0
COLUMBIA 64 75 50 74 / 20 0 0 0
COOKEVILLE 63 71 47 70 / 50 0 0 0
JAMESTOWN 60 69 45 68 / 60 10 0 0
LAWRENCEBURG 63 74 47 72 / 30 0 0 0
MURFREESBORO 65 75 50 74 / 30 0 0 0
WAVERLY 60 75 48 72 / 10 0 0 0
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...CLEMENTS
LONG TERM....CLEMENTS
AVIATION.....ROSE
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