502
FXUS64 KOHX 090056
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
656 PM CST SAT NOV 8 2025
..NEW UPDATE
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 650 PM CST SAT NOV 8 2025
- HIGH PROBABILITY FOR A WIDESPREAD HARD FREEZE SUNDAY AND MONDAY
NIGHTS. LOW TO MEDIUM CHANCE (30-50%) FOR LIGHT SNOW
ACCUMULATION ACROSS THE PLATEAU EARLY MONDAY MORNING.
- TEMPERATURES CLOSER TO NEAR-NORMAL VALUES RETURNING BY
WEDNESDAY.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 650 PM CST SAT NOV 8 2025
IT WAS A PRETTY NICE EVENING FOR NOVEMBER WITH CLEAR TO PARTLY
CLOUDY SKIES AND TEMPS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. BIG CHANGES ARE
ON THE WAY WITH A COLD FRONT CURRENTLY PUSHING INTO SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI. THE FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS MID TN OVERNIGHT WITH A
NARROW BAND OF SHOWERS, FOLLOWED BY A BLUSTERY AND COLDER SUNDAY.
BY THIS TIME TOMORROW EVENING, WE MAY BE SEEING A FEW SNOWFLAKES
IN SOME SPOTS WITH NORTHWEST WINDS GUSTING AROUND 25 MPH, AND
TEMPS AROUND 20 DEGREES COLDER!
SHORT TERM
(REST OF TODAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1006 AM CST SAT NOV 8 2025
A LONGWAVE TROUGH TAKING SHAPE OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND GREAT
LAKES AREA IS EVIDENT ON SATELLITE IMAGERY THIS MORNING WITH A
POTENT COLD FRONT CURRENTLY MOVING THROUGH THE ILLINOIS/MISSOURI
AREA. FOR NOW, CONDITIONS ARE CALM ACROSS MIDDLE TN. WITH PLENTY OF
SUNSHINE THIS AFTERNOON, LOOK FOR TEMPERATURES TO WARM INTO THE
UPPER-60S TO LOW-70S. BUT THE AFOREMENTIONED COLD FRONT WILL MAKE
ITS PRESENCE KNOWN AS IT BRINGS MUCH COLDER AIR AND GUSTY NORTHWEST
WINDS. TEMPERATURES WILL FALL OVERNIGHT AND THROUGH THE DAY ON
SUNDAY WHICH MEANS THAT THE DAY'S HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE 50S WILL
LIKELY BE RECORDED AROUND MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURES DURING MUCH OF THE
DAY ON SUNDAY WILL ONLY BE IN THE 40S WITH BRISK NORTHWEST WINDS
KEEPING WIND CHILLS IN THE UPPER-30S. TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO
FREE-FALL SUNDAY NIGHT WITH READINGS BELOW FREEZING AREAWIDE BY
MIDNIGHT AND THEN BOTTOMING OUT INTO THE 20S EARLY MONDAY MORNING.
COLDEST PERIOD OF THIS EVENT WILL BE MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT.
HIGH TEMPERATURE READINGS MONDAY WILL BE IN THE 30S TO NEAR 40
WHILE OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL PLUMMET INTO THE TEENS TO LOW-20S
AREAWIDE.
MEANWHILE, THIS SYSTEM WILL ALSO BRING A LOW TO MEDIUM CHANCE
(~30-50%) OF LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS MAINLY NORTH OF I-40 TONIGHT AND
INTO SUNDAY. AS TEMPERATURES FALL, THIS PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE
TO SNOW BY SUNDAY EVENING AND INTO AT LEAST EARLY MONDAY MORNING.
THIS SNOW MAY CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY ON MONDAY THANKS TO
WRAPAROUND MOISTURE FROM A DEPARTING LOW. ANY ACCUMULATIONS ARE
STILL EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT ALONG THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU, GENERALLY
RANGING FROM JUST A DUSTING TO AROUND A HALF INCH. MODELS GIVE
AROUND A 40% CHANCE THAT ANY ACCUMULATIONS GET UP TO A HALF INCH,
AND THIS WOULD MAINLY BE CONFINED TO THE TYPICALLY FAVORED AREAS
OF THE UPPER CUMBERLAND PLATEAU LIKE FENTRESS AND PICKETT
COUNTIES. REGARDLESS, NONE TO LITTLE IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED FROM
THIS SHORT BURST OF SNOW.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1006 AM CST SAT NOV 8 2025
TEMPERATURES WILL REBOUND STARTING TUESDAY WITH HIGHS MAKING IT BACK
INTO THE 50S AND 60S FOR MID-WEEK AND OVERNIGHT LOWS ABOVE THE
FREEZING MARK. DRY NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL PERSIST THROUGH MUCH
OF NEXT WEEK, HELPING TO KEEP DRY AND CALM CONDITIONS IN THE
FORECAST THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 614 PM CST SAT NOV 8 2025
CURRENT VFR CONDITIONS WILL TRANSITION TO MVFR BETWEEN 09-12Z WITH
THE ARRIVAL OF AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT. BEHIND THE FRONT, WINDS WILL
BE GUSTY THROUGH MUCH OF THE TAF PERIOD WITH 20-25 KTS GUSTS FROM
THE NW.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 48 51 27 40 / 30 10 10 10
CLARKSVILLE 44 49 26 40 / 40 10 0 20
CROSSVILLE 48 52 21 32 / 30 20 40 30
COLUMBIA 46 50 26 40 / 10 0 10 10
COOKEVILLE 47 51 24 35 / 40 20 40 20
JAMESTOWN 47 51 22 32 / 40 20 60 30
LAWRENCEBURG 47 52 24 40 / 10 0 10 0
MURFREESBORO 47 52 26 40 / 30 10 10 10
WAVERLY 41 49 24 39 / 20 0 0 10
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
UPDATE.......13
SHORT TERM...CLEMENTS
LONG TERM....CLEMENTS
AVIATION.....SIZEMORE
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