611
FXUS64 KOHX 201125
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
525 AM CST SAT DEC 20 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 525 AM CST SAT DEC 20 2025
- TEMPERATURES WARM THIS WEEKEND AND NEXT WEEK. HIGHS ON CHRISTMAS
EVE & CHRISTMAS DAY WILL BE IN THE 60S TO LOW-70S.
- LOW TO MEDIUM RAIN CHANCES RETURN MONDAY AND TUESDAY. NO
HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1006 PM CST FRI DEC 19 2025
ALL IS QUIET ACROSS MIDDLE TN THIS EVENING AND INTO TONIGHT AS
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE AREA. IN THE WAKE OF
YESTERDAY'S FRONT, TEMPERATURES TODAY WERE COOLER AND WILL REMAIN
COOL OVERNIGHT AS READINGS BOTTOM OUT INTO THE UPPER-20S TO
LOW-30S. TEMPERATURES WILL REBOUND QUICKLY THOUGH AS WINDS BECOME
SOUTHERLY, ALLOWING HIGH TEMPERATURES TO WARM INTO THE MID AND
UPPER-50S SATURDAY. THESE SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BE GUSTY AS WELL
WITH GUSTS OF 15 TO 25 MPH THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
A WEAK FRONT THEN DIPS SOUTH THROUGH THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT, GIVING
US A LITTLE COOLDOWN ON SUNDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE LOW-50S. THERE IS A
LOW CHANCE (10-20%) FOR LIGHT RAIN WITH THE FRONT SATURDAY NIGHT AND
INTO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING, BUT THIS IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE IMPACTFUL
WITH JUST A COUPLE HUNDREDTHS OF RAIN AT BEST. OVERALL, A NICE
WEEKEND IS ON TAP.
LONG TERM
(MONDAY THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1006 PM CST FRI DEC 19 2025
WINDS TURN SOUTHERLY AGAIN ON MONDAY, ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO WARM
AGAIN TO START THE NEW WEEK. HIGHS ON MONDAY WILL BE IN THE MID TO
UPPER-50S, AND THE WARMING TREND CONTINUES ALL THE WAY INTO
CHRISTMAS EVE AND CHRISTMAS DAY. HIGHS ON WEDNESDAY WILL BE IN THE
60S, AND THEN FOR CHRISTMAS, HIGHS WEST OF THE PLATEAU MAY EVEN WARM
INTO THE LOW-70S. NBM PROBABILITIES OF SEEING TEMPERATURES GREATER
THAN 70 DEGREES THURSDAY HAVE CREPT UP TO 60-80%.
AS FAR AS RAIN, A SHORTWAVE PASSING THROUGH THE AREA WILL BRING RAIN
CHANCES OF 40-60% TO THE AREA MONDAY AND INTO TUESDAY. LOW RAIN
CHANCES LINGER INTO CHRISTMAS EVE, BUT CHRISTMAS DAY IS LOOKING TO
BE DRY WITH A ZERO PERCENT CHANCE OF A WHITE CHRISTMAS THANKS TO
THESE TEMPERATURES THAT ARE AROUND 20 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. BUT THE
GOOD NEWS IS THAT NOTHING LOOKS HAZARDOUS FOR THE HOLIDAY WEEK.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 525 AM CST SAT DEC 20 2025
VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS
MORNING WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KNOTS POSSIBLE, AND SOME LLWS ISSUES
AT WESTERN TAF SITES. WINDS WILL LESSEN OVERNIGHT BACK TO 10 KNOTS
OR LEFT, AND SHIFT TO BE OUT OF THE NORTH AFTER 06Z SUNDAY.
CEILINGS WILL REMAIN VFR.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 60 38 53 32 / 0 10 0 0
CLARKSVILLE 59 34 50 30 / 0 10 0 0
CROSSVILLE 54 36 50 30 / 0 10 0 0
COLUMBIA 59 38 53 32 / 0 20 0 0
COOKEVILLE 56 37 51 31 / 0 10 0 0
JAMESTOWN 56 35 49 28 / 0 10 0 0
LAWRENCEBURG 58 39 54 32 / 0 20 0 0
MURFREESBORO 59 38 54 31 / 0 10 0 0
WAVERLY 57 36 51 33 / 0 10 0 0
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...CLEMENTS
LONG TERM....CLEMENTS
AVIATION.....HOLLEY
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