826
FXUS64 KOHX 241739
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1139 AM CST WED DEC 24 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1135 AM CST WED DEC 24 2025
- EXPECT ON-AND-OFF LIGHT SHOWERS UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING. NO SEVERE
WEATHER IS EXPECTED.
- ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE IN STORE THROUGH SUNDAY WITH
AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO MID 70S.
- A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP THROUGH LATE SUNDAY, BRINGING
WIDESPREAD RAIN AND A SUBSTANTIAL TEMPERATURE DROP BY THE START
OF NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(REST OF TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1048 AM CST WED DEC 24 2025
MIDDLE TENNESSEE FINDS ITSELF IN A COL AREA THIS MORNING, WITH
HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH AND LOW PRESSURE TO THE EAST
AND WEST. A WEAK LATITUDINALLY-ORIENTED SURFACE BOUNDARY HAS
DEVELOPED OVER THE REGION, AND THIS IS RESULTING IN THE ADDITIONAL
CLOUDINESS ACROSS MIDDLE TENNESSEE, ALONG WITH A FEW LIGHT,
SPOTTY SHOWERS. THE NEAR-RECORD TEMPERATURES WE'RE OBSERVING WILL
CONTINUE ON CHRISTMAS AND BEYOND.
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1048 AM CST WED DEC 24 2025
LOOK FOR LOW RAIN CHANCES THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. A SURFACE
BOUNDARY LOOKS TO ROTATE ACROSS THE MID STATE ON FRIDAY, SO THESE
PERSISTENT RAIN CHANCES WILL END IN MOST AREAS BY FRIDAY EVENING.
SATURDAY LOOKS TO BE QUITE PLEASANT, BUT MUCH HIGHER RAIN CHANCES
WILL DEVELOP SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT AS A STRONG COLD FRONT
PUSHES THROUGH THE REGION. INDEED, SUNDAY WILL BE OUR LAST WARM
DAY FOR AWHILE. TEMPERATURES WILL FALL DRAMATICALLY SUNDAY NIGHT,
WITH A RETURN TO WINTER COLD THAT WILL PERSIST THROUGHOUT NEXT
WEEK. AT THIS TIME, IT APPEARS THAT A FEW LOCATIONS MAINLY NORTH
OF I-40 COULD SEE LIGHT WINTRY PRECIPITATION SUNDAY NIGHT AND
EARLY MONDAY, BUT ADVERSE IMPACTS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED. THE BULK
OF NEXT WEEK LOOKS TO BE FREE OF ACTIVE WEATHER, BUT IT IS
PROBABLE THAT TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN BELOW SEASONAL NORMS AT
LEAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT (QUITE THE TURNAROUND FROM THIS
WEEK'S BALMY WEATHER).
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1135 AM CST WED DEC 24 2025
MVFR CIGS PERSIST ACROSS MIDDLE TENNESSEE TERMINALS, BUT SATELLITE
IMAGERY IS SHOWING IMPROVEMENT NEARING BNA, MQY, AND CKV WITH
CLEARING TO SCT-BKN SKIES. IT APPEARS SRB AND CSV WILL REMAIN
CLOSER TO BKN-OVC SKIES FOR A FEW MORE HOURS. OTHERWISE,
AFTERNOON CONDITIONS SHOULD BECOME VFR WITH SW WINDS AT 5-8 KTS.
INCREASING SKY COVER AND MVFR CIGS ARE FORECAST TO RETURN TONIGHT
PERSISTING THROUGH TOMORROW MORNING. IFR WILL BE POSSIBLE AT CSV,
BUT LEFT OUT OF TAF DUE TO LOW CONFIDENCE AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 71 59 71 59 / 10 0 10 20
CLARKSVILLE 71 59 70 60 / 20 0 10 20
CROSSVILLE 64 55 65 55 / 20 10 20 20
COLUMBIA 72 57 73 59 / 10 0 10 20
COOKEVILLE 66 57 67 57 / 20 20 30 20
JAMESTOWN 65 56 64 56 / 20 30 30 20
LAWRENCEBURG 71 57 73 58 / 0 0 10 10
MURFREESBORO 70 58 73 58 / 10 0 10 20
WAVERLY 69 57 70 59 / 10 0 10 20
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...ROSE
LONG TERM....ROSE
AVIATION.....SIZEMORE
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