783
FXUS64 KOHX 242310
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
510 PM CST WED DEC 24 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 509 PM CST WED DEC 24 2025
- EXPECT ON-AND-OFF LIGHT SHOWERS UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING. NO SEVERE
WEATHER IS EXPECTED.
- ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE IN STORE THROUGH SUNDAY WITH
AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO MID 70S.
- A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP THROUGH LATE SUNDAY, BRINGING
WIDESPREAD RAIN AND A SUBSTANTIAL TEMPERATURE DROP BY THE START
OF NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(REST OF TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1048 AM CST WED DEC 24 2025
MIDDLE TENNESSEE FINDS ITSELF IN A COL AREA THIS MORNING, WITH
HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH AND LOW PRESSURE TO THE EAST
AND WEST. A WEAK LATITUDINALLY-ORIENTED SURFACE BOUNDARY HAS
DEVELOPED OVER THE REGION, AND THIS IS RESULTING IN THE ADDITIONAL
CLOUDINESS ACROSS MIDDLE TENNESSEE, ALONG WITH A FEW LIGHT,
SPOTTY SHOWERS. THE NEAR-RECORD TEMPERATURES WE'RE OBSERVING WILL
CONTINUE ON CHRISTMAS AND BEYOND.
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1048 AM CST WED DEC 24 2025
LOOK FOR LOW RAIN CHANCES THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. A SURFACE
BOUNDARY LOOKS TO ROTATE ACROSS THE MID STATE ON FRIDAY, SO THESE
PERSISTENT RAIN CHANCES WILL END IN MOST AREAS BY FRIDAY EVENING.
SATURDAY LOOKS TO BE QUITE PLEASANT, BUT MUCH HIGHER RAIN CHANCES
WILL DEVELOP SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT AS A STRONG COLD FRONT
PUSHES THROUGH THE REGION. INDEED, SUNDAY WILL BE OUR LAST WARM
DAY FOR AWHILE. TEMPERATURES WILL FALL DRAMATICALLY SUNDAY NIGHT,
WITH A RETURN TO WINTER COLD THAT WILL PERSIST THROUGHOUT NEXT
WEEK. AT THIS TIME, IT APPEARS THAT A FEW LOCATIONS MAINLY NORTH
OF I-40 COULD SEE LIGHT WINTRY PRECIPITATION SUNDAY NIGHT AND
EARLY MONDAY, BUT ADVERSE IMPACTS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED. THE BULK
OF NEXT WEEK LOOKS TO BE FREE OF ACTIVE WEATHER, BUT IT IS
PROBABLE THAT TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN BELOW SEASONAL NORMS AT
LEAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT (QUITE THE TURNAROUND FROM THIS
WEEK'S BALMY WEATHER).
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 509 PM CST WED DEC 24 2025
CIGS HAVE IMPROVED TO VFR ACROSS THE AREA, BUT LOW CLOUDS WILL
RETURN AFTER 06Z. WIDESPREAD MVFR CIGS ARE EXPECTED BY 12Z AND WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. OTHERWISE, SOUTHERLY TO
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT AT 5-8 KNOTS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 59 72 60 73 / 0 10 10 20
CLARKSVILLE 59 72 61 72 / 0 10 10 20
CROSSVILLE 55 65 56 68 / 10 20 20 20
COLUMBIA 57 73 59 73 / 0 10 10 10
COOKEVILLE 57 67 58 68 / 20 20 30 30
JAMESTOWN 56 64 57 67 / 30 30 40 30
LAWRENCEBURG 57 72 59 72 / 0 10 10 10
MURFREESBORO 57 72 59 73 / 0 10 10 20
WAVERLY 57 71 60 72 / 0 10 10 10
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...ROSE
LONG TERM....ROSE
AVIATION.....CLEMENTS
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