671
FXUS64 KOHX 251135
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
535 AM CST THU DEC 25 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 529 AM CST THU DEC 25 2025
- LOW CHANCE FOR LIGHT SHOWERS THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. NO SEVERE
WEATHER IS EXPECTED.
- ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH SUNDAY WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS IN
THE 60S AND 70S.
- A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP THROUGH LATE SUNDAY, BRINGING
WIDESPREAD RAIN AND A SUBSTANTIAL TEMPERATURE DROP BY THE START
OF NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 957 PM CST WED DEC 24 2025
IT WAS A VERY WARM CHRISTMAS EVE, WITH BNA REACHING 76 DEGREES.
THAT TIES THE DAILY HIGH TEMPERATURE RECORD FOR NASHVILLE SET BACK
IN 1964. BUT WAIT THERE'S MORE, OUR MORNING LOW TEMPERATURE WAS
62 DEGREES. THE RECORD "WARMEST LOW" FOR THE 24TH IS 61 DEGREES,
SET BACK IN 1875! IF TEMPERATURES REFRAIN FROM FALLING BELOW 62
DEGREES BEFORE MIDNIGHT TONIGHT, WE'LL SET A NEW RECORD FOR
WARMEST LOW TEMPERATURE AS WELL.
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS SITUATED TO OUR SOUTH OVER THE GULF
ASSOCIATED WITH A MID LEVEL RIDGE. A GENERAL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
IS OFF TO OUR NORTH AND IS EXPECTED TO PUSH A COLD FRONT SOUTH
TOWARDS MIDDLE TN THURSDAY. THIS FRONT LOOKS TO REMAIN JUST TO
OUR NORTH, BUT WILL OFFER SOME INCREASED CLOUD COVER AND LOW
CHANCES FOR RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH FRIDAY. BEST CHANCES TO SEE ANY
SHOWERS WILL BE ALONG THE KY/TN BORDER AND ALONG THE PLATEAU.
MORE WARM WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR CHRISTMAS DAY WITH HIGHS
REMAINING IN THE 70S WEST OF THE PLATEAU AND PARTLY SUNNY SKIES.
OVER THE PLATEAU, AFTERNOON HIGHS CLIMB INTO THE UPPER 60S WITH
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 957 PM CST WED DEC 24 2025
NEXT ROUND OF WIDESPREAD RAINFALL ARRIVES SUNDAY WITH AN
APPROACHING COLD FRONT. INSTABILITY WILL BE LACKING WITH THIS
FRONT AS IT MOVES IN OVERNIGHT, SO NOT EXPECTING ANY SEVERE
WEATHER POTENTIAL WITH THIS. AS THE FRONT SWINGS THROUGH, WINTER
RETURNS, AS WE SEE AFTERNOON HIGHS ONLY REACHING THE 30S AND 40S.
OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES FALL BACK INTO THE TEENS AND 20S MONDAY
NIGHT INTO THE END OF THE WEEK. THERE IS A SIGNAL FOR SOME
LOCATIONS, MAINLY N OF I-40 AND OVER THE UPPER CUMBERLAND, COULD
SEE LIGHT WINTRY PRECIPITATION SUNDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY.
THAT SAID, NOT EXPECTING ANY ACCUMULATION AT THIS TIME OR MAJOR
IMPACTS. WILL KEEP AN EYE ON THIS POTENTIAL HEADING INTO THE
WEEKEND.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 529 AM CST THU DEC 25 2025
CLOUDS HAVE STARTED TO OVERSPREAD MIDDLE TN THIS MORNING WHICH ARE
MAINLY BELOW 2K FT WEST OF THE PLATEAU. TAFS REFLECT MVFR CIGS FOR
BNA, MQY, AND CKV THROUGH MUCH OF THE MORNING, WITH A TRANSITION
TO LOWER CIGS AT SRB AND CSV IN A FEW HOURS. SOME SCATTERING OF
CLOUDS IS LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON, SO VFR IS FORECAST WITH SW AT
5-10 KTS. ADDITIONAL LIFT OVERNIGHT SUGGESTS A RETURN TO MVFR CIGS
INTO EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 76 61 73 59 / 10 10 10 20
CLARKSVILLE 74 61 73 56 / 10 10 0 10
CROSSVILLE 66 56 67 56 / 20 10 10 30
COLUMBIA 77 59 73 59 / 10 0 10 20
COOKEVILLE 68 58 68 58 / 30 10 10 30
JAMESTOWN 66 57 67 56 / 30 20 10 40
LAWRENCEBURG 76 59 71 59 / 0 0 10 20
MURFREESBORO 75 59 72 58 / 10 10 10 20
WAVERLY 75 60 71 57 / 10 10 10 10
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...CRAVENS
LONG TERM....CRAVENS
AVIATION.....SIZEMORE
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