810
FXUS64 KOHX 261114
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
514 AM CST FRI DEC 26 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 507 AM CST FRI DEC 26 2025
- THERE ARE LOW CHANCES FOR LIGHT SHOWERS TODAY, MAINLY EAST OF
I-65.
- LOOK FOR WELL ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH SUNDAY WITH
AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO MID 70S.
- A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP THROUGH LATE SUNDAY, BRINGING
WIDESPREAD RAIN, GUSTY WINDS, AND A SUBSTANTIAL TEMPERATURE DROP
STARTING MONDAY.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 918 PM CST THU DEC 25 2025
QUIET NIGHT TONIGHT, WITH CLOUDY SKIES AND MILD TEMPERATURES. A
SURFACE BOUNDARY REMAINS TO OUR NORTH AND HAS KEPT A STRATUS DECK
OVER MIDDLE TN THE PAST FEW DAYS. CURRENT SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS
THE SW EDGE OF THIS LAYER ERODING AWAY, LEAVING PORTIONS OF SW
MIDDLE TN WITH CLEAR SKIES. THAT SAID, MORE CLOUDS ARE BUILDING IN
BEHIND SO THE CLEARING ISNT EXPECTED TO LAST TOO LONG. FRIDAY
OFFERS MUCH OF THE SAME WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S AND 70S AND
CLOUDY SKIES. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED LIGHT SHOWERS WILL ALSO ONCE
AGAIN BE POSSIBLE. BEST CHANCE WILL BE EAST OF I-65 AND ALONG THE
PLATEAU. SATURDAY WILL HAVE LOWER CHANCES FOR SHOWERS ACROSS THE
PLATEAU BUT WILL REMAIN WARM WITH HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID 70S.
THERE WILL STILL BE PLENTY OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE SO PARTLY CLOUDY
TO MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES WILL CONTINUE.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 918 PM CST THU DEC 25 2025
SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY A STRONG COLD FRONT SURGES THROUGH MIDDLE
TENNESSEE. THERE ARE SOME RAIN CHANCES ON SUNDAY, BUT EXPECT
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS SUNDAY NIGHT, WITH PRECIPITATION LINGERING WELL
INTO MONDAY. MODELS STILL ARE TRENDING WITH FRONTAL PASSAGE LATE
SUNDAY NIGHT. TOTAL QPF SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY RANGES FROM
ROUGHLY 0.40 TO 0.80 INCHES, WITH THE GREATER AMOUNTS LINED UP
ALONG THE TN/KY BORDER AND UPPER CUMBERLAND. THERE IS THE
POSSIBILITY THAT SOME WINTRY PRECIPITATION MIGHT MIX IN MONDAY
MORNING, WITH LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE IN A FEW SPOTS, BUT
IMPACTS FROM THAT WILL BE MINIMAL. COLD TEMPERATURES SET IN MONDAY
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS ALSO RETURN
THROUGH THE END OF NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 507 AM CST FRI DEC 26 2025
CIG FORECASTS HAVE BEEN AND WILL CONTINUE TO BE CHALLENGING WITH
VARIABLE CONDITIONS FROM LOW VFR TO MVFR ACROSS THE AREA. THE TAFS
WILL LEAN TOWARD MVFR TODAY WILL SSW WINDS GUSTING AROUND 18KT.
CIGS MAY GENERALLY IMPROVE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING, BUT WITH
LIGHTER WINDS AND ABUNDANT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE, STRATUS AND AREAS
OF FOG WILL FORM TONIGHT, MAINLY AFTER 27/06Z. FROM THAT POINT,
IFR/LIFR WILL PREVAIL.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 72 58 75 63 / 20 0 0 10
CLARKSVILLE 71 55 74 63 / 10 0 0 10
CROSSVILLE 65 55 69 57 / 20 10 0 10
COLUMBIA 71 58 75 62 / 10 10 0 10
COOKEVILLE 66 57 70 59 / 30 10 0 10
JAMESTOWN 65 55 69 56 / 30 10 0 10
LAWRENCEBURG 70 58 75 62 / 10 10 0 10
MURFREESBORO 71 58 75 63 / 20 10 0 10
WAVERLY 70 57 73 62 / 10 0 0 10
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...CRAVENS
LONG TERM....CRAVENS
AVIATION.....13
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