925
FXUS64 KOHX 130522
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1122 PM CST MON JAN 12 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1121 PM CST MON JAN 12 2026
- MEDIUM TO HIGH CHANCES FOR LIGHT RAIN ON WEDNESDAY. A CHANGEOVER
TO LIGHT SNOW OR FLURRIES IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY EVENING INTO
THURSDAY MORNING.
- MEDIUM CHANCE FOR LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS (LESS THAN 1") ACROSS
THE PLATEAU WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
- BELOW-NORMAL TEMPERATURES THURSDAY INTO THE WEEKEND WITH LOW
PRECIPITATION CHANCES FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1030 PM CST MON JAN 12 2026
THE UPPER-LEVELS WILL BECOME MORE ACTIVE THROUGH WEDNESDAY AS A
FEW DISTURBANCES ALOFT INTERACT WITHIN A DEEPENING LONGWAVE
TROUGH. AS THESE APPROACH THE REGION ON TUESDAY, ALONG WITH A COLD
FRONT, SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE WHICH WILL FAVOR A BIG
WARM-UP TO THE MID 50S TO NEAR 60 TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THE COLD
FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE AREA LATE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY MORNING ALONG WITH A DEVELOPING BAND OF LIGHT RAIN. RAIN
CHANCES REMAIN QUITE HIGH, THOUGH AMOUNTS ARE LESS THAN ONE
QUARTER INCH. THE TEMPERATURE PROFILE WILL TAKE A STARK DECREASE
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AS THE DEEPENING TROUGH MOVES OVERHEAD, AND
LOW-LEVEL THICKNESS VALUES SHOULD DROP QUICKLY AFTER THE COLD
FRONT PASSES. THIS CONTINUES TO FAVOR A CHANGEOVER TO SNOW
WEDNESDAY EVENING THOUGH MOISTURE WILL BE DWINDLING QUICKLY.
DESPITE AREA-WIDE CHANCES FOR FLURRIES, ONLY A LIGHT SNOW
ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE PLATEAU WHERE NBM
PROBABILITIES FOR 1.0" OR MORE SNOW HAVE DECREASED TO 10-25%.
FORECAST LOWS IN THE UPPER 10S TO LOW 20S ARE FORECAST INTO
THURSDAY MORNING.
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1030 PM CST MON JAN 12 2026
THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN FOR THE REST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD WILL
FEATURE PERSISTENT LONGWAVE TROUGHING ACROSS MUCH OF THE CENTRAL
AND EASTERN CONUS. THIS WILL FAVOR CONTINUED BELOW-NORMAL
TEMPERATURES. ONLY LOW PRECIPITATION CHANCES EXIST FRIDAY NIGHT
THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING IN ASSOCIATION WITH MOISTURE STARVED
UPPER-LEVEL DISTURBANCES, MUCH LIKE THE ONE DISCUSSED FOR
WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1121 PM CST MON JAN 12 2026
VFR CONDITIONS CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH LIGHT SOUTH
WINDS. SOUTHWEST WINDS INCREASE AFTER 15Z TUESDAY AND GUST AROUND
20 TO 25 KTS. WIND GUSTS EASE AFTER 03Z TOMORROW NIGHT.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 32 61 42 50 / 0 0 40 90
CLARKSVILLE 33 60 43 49 / 0 0 70 80
CROSSVILLE 28 54 36 44 / 0 0 10 80
COLUMBIA 30 59 40 50 / 0 0 30 90
COOKEVILLE 29 54 38 45 / 0 0 20 90
JAMESTOWN 29 55 37 44 / 0 0 30 80
LAWRENCEBURG 29 57 39 49 / 0 0 20 90
MURFREESBORO 29 58 40 49 / 0 0 30 90
WAVERLY 33 58 41 48 / 0 0 60 80
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...SIZEMORE
LONG TERM....SIZEMORE
AVIATION.....CRAVENS
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