529
FXUS64 KOHX 171710
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1110 AM CST SAT JAN 17 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1105 AM CST SAT JAN 17 2026
- DRY AND COLD WEATHER THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. COLDEST DAY ON
MONDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE 30S AND LOWS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS TO
LOW TEENS.
- TEMPERATURES WARM MID WEEK WITH LOW RAIN CHANCES RETURNING
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.
SHORT TERM
(REST OF TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1020 AM CST SAT JAN 17 2026
A COLD FRONT HAS PASSED THROUGH MIDDLE TN THIS MORNING, MAKING WAY
FOR COLD AND DRY WEATHER THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. HIGHS REACH THE
40S THIS AFTERNOON THEN DROP INTO THE TEENS TONIGHT, THANKS TO
THOSE CLEARING SKIES. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE SOME FOLKS COULD SEE
SOME FLURRIES THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS AN EMBEDDED SHORTWAVE
TROUGH AXIS CONTINUES TO WORK EAST OVER THE REGION THROUGH SUNDAY
AFTERNOON. NO ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED WITH THIS. HIGH PRESSURE
OFF TO OUR SOUTHWEST WILL ALLOW FOR DRY WEATHER SUNDAY THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES. HIGHS ONLY REACH THE 30S
SUNDAY AND DROP INTO THE LOW 20S OVERNIGHT.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1020 AM CST SAT JAN 17 2026
AN UPPER TROUGH REMAINS OVER THE THE EASTERN US THROUGH NEXT WEEK,
KEEPING COOLER TEMPERATURES OVER MIDDLE TN. MONDAY AND TUESDAY
KEEP HIGHS IN THE 30S FOR DAYTIME HIGHS. A DRY COLD FRONT IS
FORECASTED TO MOVE THROUGH MONDAY AND WITH IT, CLEARING SKIES
OVERNIGHT. THIS WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO FALL INTO THE LOW
TEENS. SOME WILL LIKELY EVEN SEE UPPER SINGLE DIGITS COME EARLY
TUESDAY MORNING. JUST IN TIME TO THAW OUT, SOUTHERLY FLOW RETURNS
TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY, NUDGING TEMPERATURES BACK INTO THE 40S BY
WEDNESDAY. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BECOMES DISPLACED OFF TO THE EAST
WHILE A COLD FRONT ADVANCES FROM THE WEST THROUGH THURSDAY,
BRINGING LOW PRECIPITATION CHANCES BACK INTO THE FORECAST.
ADDITIONAL LOW CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION STICK AROUND THROUGH THE
WEEKEND AS MODELS SUGGEST A FEW WEAK SHORTWAVES MOVING THROUGH.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1105 AM CST SAT JAN 17 2026
ACTIVE WEATHER HAS DEPARTED MIDDLE TENNESSEE FOLLOWING LAST
EVENING'S FROPA, BUT THERE IS STILL SOME MID AND UPPER-LEVEL
MOISTURE LEFT BEHIND. WITH DRIER AIR FILTERING IN, THERE IS MUCH
LESS POTENTIAL FOR RADIATION FOG OVERNIGHT. TAFS ARE VFR. SURFACE
WINDS WILL REMAIN GUSTY THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON AND THEN
BECOME LIGHT/CALM AFTER 00Z.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 44 19 36 23 / 0 0 0 0
CLARKSVILLE 39 16 34 21 / 10 0 0 0
CROSSVILLE 40 15 31 19 / 0 10 0 0
COLUMBIA 44 18 36 22 / 0 0 0 0
COOKEVILLE 40 17 31 21 / 0 10 0 0
JAMESTOWN 39 15 29 20 / 0 10 0 0
LAWRENCEBURG 44 18 36 22 / 0 0 0 0
MURFREESBORO 44 17 36 22 / 0 0 0 0
WAVERLY 40 16 34 22 / 10 0 0 0
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...CRAVENS
LONG TERM....CRAVENS
AVIATION.....ROSE
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