932
FXUS64 KOHX 172318
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
518 PM CST SAT JAN 17 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 518 PM CST SAT JAN 17 2026
- DRY AND COLD WEATHER THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. COLDEST DAY ON
MONDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE 30S AND LOWS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS TO
LOW TEENS.
- TEMPERATURES WARM MID WEEK WITH LOW RAIN CHANCES RETURNING
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 511 PM CST SAT JAN 17 2026
BREEZY AND COLD AT UPDATE TIME AND WHILE WINDS WILL START TO DIE
DOWN OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS, COLDER AND DRIER AIR IS
STARTING TO FILTER INTO THE MID-STATE. WITH CLOUDS EXPECTED TO
CLEAR OUT AS WELL, THIS IS SETTING THE STAGE FOR SOME PRETTY COLD
TEMPERATURES COME TOMORROW MORNING. EXPECT FOR US TO FALL INTO THE
TEENS BY SUN UP SUNDAY. GET THOSE HEAVIER JACKETS BACK OUT IF
YOU'RE HEADED OUT IN THE MORNING.
SHORT TERM
(REST OF TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1020 AM CST SAT JAN 17 2026
A COLD FRONT HAS PASSED THROUGH MIDDLE TN THIS MORNING, MAKING WAY
FOR COLD AND DRY WEATHER THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. HIGHS REACH THE
40S THIS AFTERNOON THEN DROP INTO THE TEENS TONIGHT, THANKS TO
THOSE CLEARING SKIES. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE SOME FOLKS COULD SEE
SOME FLURRIES THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS AN EMBEDDED SHORTWAVE
TROUGH AXIS CONTINUES TO WORK EAST OVER THE REGION THROUGH SUNDAY
AFTERNOON. NO ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED WITH THIS. HIGH PRESSURE
OFF TO OUR SOUTHWEST WILL ALLOW FOR DRY WEATHER SUNDAY THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES. HIGHS ONLY REACH THE 30S
SUNDAY AND DROP INTO THE LOW 20S OVERNIGHT.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1020 AM CST SAT JAN 17 2026
AN UPPER TROUGH REMAINS OVER THE THE EASTERN US THROUGH NEXT WEEK,
KEEPING COOLER TEMPERATURES OVER MIDDLE TN. MONDAY AND TUESDAY
KEEP HIGHS IN THE 30S FOR DAYTIME HIGHS. A DRY COLD FRONT IS
FORECASTED TO MOVE THROUGH MONDAY AND WITH IT, CLEARING SKIES
OVERNIGHT. THIS WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO FALL INTO THE LOW
TEENS. SOME WILL LIKELY EVEN SEE UPPER SINGLE DIGITS COME EARLY
TUESDAY MORNING. JUST IN TIME TO THAW OUT, SOUTHERLY FLOW RETURNS
TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY, NUDGING TEMPERATURES BACK INTO THE 40S BY
WEDNESDAY. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BECOMES DISPLACED OFF TO THE EAST
WHILE A COLD FRONT ADVANCES FROM THE WEST THROUGH THURSDAY,
BRINGING LOW PRECIPITATION CHANCES BACK INTO THE FORECAST.
ADDITIONAL LOW CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION STICK AROUND THROUGH THE
WEEKEND AS MODELS SUGGEST A FEW WEAK SHORTWAVES MOVING THROUGH.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 518 PM CST SAT JAN 17 2026
WINDS WILL LESSEN OVERNIGHT DOWN TO 5 - 10 KNOTS. CLOUDS WILL ALSO
CLEAR MAKING CONDITIONS VFR THROUGH THE PERIOD. WINDS WILL RETURN
TOMORROW OUT OF THE WEST AROUND 10 KNOTS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 19 36 23 34 / 0 0 0 0
CLARKSVILLE 16 34 21 29 / 0 0 0 0
CROSSVILLE 15 31 19 31 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBIA 18 36 22 36 / 0 0 0 0
COOKEVILLE 17 31 21 31 / 0 0 0 0
JAMESTOWN 15 29 20 30 / 0 0 0 0
LAWRENCEBURG 18 36 22 36 / 0 0 0 0
MURFREESBORO 17 36 22 35 / 0 0 0 0
WAVERLY 16 34 22 31 / 0 0 0 0
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
UPDATE.......UNGER
SHORT TERM...CRAVENS
LONG TERM....CRAVENS
AVIATION.....HOLLEY
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