577
FXUS64 KOHX 261657
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1057 AM CST THU FEB 26 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1051 AM CST THU FEB 26 2026
- AWESOME WEEKEND AHEAD WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS 10-15 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL AND NO RAIN.
- MEDIUM CHANCE FOR RAIN SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY WITH AN
UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN THROUGH MID-WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(REST OF TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1051 AM CST THU FEB 26 2026
A QUICK LOOK AT OBSERVATIONS ACROSS THE AREA SHOW OUR CURRENT COLD
FRONT IS ALMOST COMPLETELY THROUGH THE AREA. THE BEST NEWS IS
THE RAIN IS GONE. MOSTLY CLOUDY TO OVERCAST CONDITIONS REMAIN AND
THAT SHOULD IMPROVE THIS AFTERNOON. MANY CAN EXPECT THE SUN COME
OUT. AFTERNOON HIGHS SHOULD TOP OUT IN A LUKE-WARM MID 50S (NORTH)
TO MID 60S (SOUTH) WITH THE COOLEST MORNING TEMPERATURES OF THIS
FORECAST PACKAGE BEING TOMORROW MORNING IN THE 30S. AS FAR AS THE
RAIN, THAT WILL BE IT FOR A COUPLE OF DAYS. FRIDAY AND SATURDAY
SHOULD BE GLORIOUSLY SUNNY TO PARTLY CLOUDY WITH HIGHS 10 TO 15
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL -- VERY SPRING-LIKE.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1051 AM CST THU FEB 26 2026
OUR NEXT CHANCE OF PRECIP ARRIVES ON SUNDAY AND AT THIS POINT, IT
LIKELY WON'T BE UNTIL SUNDAY NIGHT. AS PART OF A MID-LEVEL WAVE
THAT WILL COME OUT OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON, AT
LEAST A MEDIUM CHANCE OF SHOWERS WILL ENCOMPASS THE REGION. WITH
NORTHEASTERLY BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW IN PLACE AND THE TIME OF YEAR,
IT'S WORTH TAKING A PEEK AT WHETHER THERE'S *ANY* CHANCE OF WINTRY
PRECIP. INTERESTINGLY ENOUGH, THE LREF AND NBM SHOW A 0-5% CHANCE
OF GETTING 1 INCH OR MORE SUNDAY NIGHT AND NO, IT'S NOT APRIL
1ST. SO, WHILE I'M SAYING THERE'S A CHANCE, THERE REALLY ISN'T
ONE. THERE'S A VERY HIGH CHANCE RAIN SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY
WILL REMAIN ALL LIQUID. WHAT DOES BEGIN IS WHAT LOOKS TO BE A
COUPLE OF DAYS OF UNSETTLED WEATHER ACROSS THE REGION. THERE'S AT
LEAST A LOW CHANCE OF SHOWERS ON TUESDAY AND THEN WE START LOOKING
AT A SECOND-HALF-OF-THE-WEEK SYSTEM THAT BOTH THE GFS AND EURO
ARE SHOWING IN THE CENTER OF THE COUNTRY. SYNOPTICALLY, IT'S A
DYNAMIC SYSTEM, BUT IT MAY NOT REACH US IN THAT FORM AS THE FRONT
ASSOCIATED WITH IT MAY FIZZLE OUT AS THE PARENT LOW PULLS AWAY.
THAT'S A WEEK AWAY, THOUGH. FOR NOW, LET'S ENJOY THESE NEXT COUPLE
OF AWESOME WEATHER DAYS.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 521 AM CST THU FEB 26 2026
RAIN AT THE TERMINALS WILL COME TO AN END THIS MORNING BUT LOW CIGS
WILL REMAIN THROUGH THE DAY. CIGS WILL GRADUALLY IMPROVE FROM
LIFR/IFR TO MVFR AT SRB/CSV. CIGS ARE EXPECTED TO IMPROVE TO VFR AT
BNA/MQY/CKV AROUND 00Z. THERE IS A LOW TO MEDIUM CHANCE FOG DEVELOPS
OVERNIGHT AT CSV/SRB/CKV ESPECIALLY AFTER 06Z. WINDS WILL HAVE A
NORTHERLY COMPONENT THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD WITH SPEEDS GENERALLY
AROUND OR UNDER 6 KTS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 61 38 66 40 / 40 0 0 0
CLARKSVILLE 59 37 66 41 / 20 0 0 0
CROSSVILLE 58 36 63 38 / 70 0 0 0
COLUMBIA 63 38 66 39 / 50 0 0 0
COOKEVILLE 57 37 62 39 / 60 0 0 0
JAMESTOWN 55 34 61 36 / 60 0 0 0
LAWRENCEBURG 63 38 66 39 / 60 10 0 0
MURFREESBORO 61 38 66 37 / 50 0 0 0
WAVERLY 60 38 66 41 / 20 0 0 0
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...UNGER
LONG TERM....UNGER
AVIATION.....REAGAN
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