117
FXUS64 KOHX 282318
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
518 PM CST SAT FEB 28 2026
..NEW UPDATE, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 514 PM CST SAT FEB 28 2026
- SPRING-LIKE WEEKEND CONDITIONS WITH DRY AND MILD CONDITIONS.
- LOW TO MEDIUM RAIN CHANCES WITH MILD TEMPERATURES THROUGHOUT
NEXT WEEK.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 514 PM CST SAT FEB 28 2026
ZERO TO REPORT WITH THIS EVENING'S UPDATE. QUIET AND BEAUTIFUL.
GET OUT THERE AND ENJOY IT.
SHORT TERM
(REST OF TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1103 AM CST SAT FEB 28 2026
SATELLITE SHOWING SOME HIGHER CLOUDS TO OUR NW THAT MAY MOVE IN
LATER TODAY, HOWEVER, THAT WON'T IMPEDE WITH THE FANTASTIC WEATHER
WE ARE EXPERIENCING! MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES RIGHT NOW, WITH TEMPERATURES
IN THE 50S AND 60S. STILL LOOKING TO GET INTO THE 70S TODAY, BUT
SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL NEED TIME TO BRING IN THAT MOISTURE AND WARMER
AIR INTO THIS AFTERNOON. WITH THE MOISTURE FROM THE SW ADVECTING
INTO THE AREA, THAT WILL BEGIN TO INTRODUCE CLOUDS OVERNIGHT
TONIGHT, WITH LOWS ONLY DIPPING INTO THE MID AND UPPER 40S.
SUNDAY WILL BRING ABOUT A PATTERN CHANGE TO MORE MOIST WEATHER. IN
THE MORNING, A DRY COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION, LOWERING
OUR HIGHS TO THE 60S SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THE COLD FRONT WILL STALL TO
OUR SOUTH, PROVIDING SOME FORCING FOR RAIN IN THE NEXT WEEK.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1103 AM CST SAT FEB 28 2026
AS THIS STATIONARY FRONT WAFFLES BACK AND FORTH OVER THE MID-SOUTH,
WE CAN EXPECT SOME LIGHT RAIN MONDAY. BY LIGHT RAIN, I MEAN LESS
THAN A QUARTER OF AN INCH OF RAIN THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT, AND MAINLY
NORTH OF I-40. AREAS SOUTH OF THE INTERSTATE WILL SEE A FEW DROPS OR
NOTHING AT ALL. TUESDAY, AS THE FRONT LIFTS INTO THE GREAT LAKES
REGION AND SOME UPPER LEVEL RIDGING SETS IN, WE WILL SEE A REPRIEVE
FROM THE PRECIPITATION. MID-WEEK AND END OF THE WEEK, RAIN WILL
RETURN WITH SOME HELP FROM A FEW SHORTWAVES AHEAD OF A BIGGER
TROUGH. PWATS ARE ANOMALOUSLY HIGH, AND WE WILL HAVE TO MONITOR HOW
MUCH RAIN IS RECEIVED AND WHERE FOR FLASH FLOODING. HOWEVER, QPF
AMOUNTS LOOK TO BE AROUND 1-2" IN THE GUIDANCE CURRENTLY, WITH A 20-
30% CHANCE OF EXCEEDING AN INCH OF PRECIPITATION IN AREAS ALONG AND
NORTH OF US-79. WITH ALL OF THESE SYSTEMS, WE ARE NOT EXPECTING
SEVERE WEATHER AT THIS TIME.
AS FOR TEMPERATURES, SPRING-LIKE TEMPERATURES ARE HERE TO STAY FOR
THE FORECAST PERIOD, GETTING INTO THE LOW TO MID 70S BY MID-WEEK
NEXT WEEK. AS WE GET INTO THE END OF NEXT WEEK, TEMPERATURES LOOK TO
RISE EVEN MORE INTO THE UPPER 70S AND POSSIBLY LOW 80S.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 514 PM CST SAT FEB 28 2026
VFR CONDITIONS FOR THIS TAF CYCLE. LOOK FOR LIGHT SOUTHWEST WINDS
TO BECOME NORTHERLY LATE TOMORROW MORNING AND REMAIN 10 KTS OR
LESS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 50 66 44 64 / 0 0 30 40
CLARKSVILLE 45 60 40 59 / 0 0 50 50
CROSSVILLE 47 65 42 59 / 0 0 20 30
COLUMBIA 48 68 45 67 / 0 0 20 20
COOKEVILLE 47 63 43 60 / 0 0 30 30
JAMESTOWN 45 61 39 56 / 0 0 30 40
LAWRENCEBURG 48 68 45 68 / 0 0 20 20
MURFREESBORO 47 67 45 65 / 0 0 30 30
WAVERLY 48 62 44 62 / 0 10 40 40
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
UPDATE.......UNGER
SHORT TERM...HOLLEY
LONG TERM....HOLLEY
AVIATION.....UNGER
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