399
FXUS64 KOHX 172334
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
634 PM CDT TUE MAR 17 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 631 PM CDT TUE MAR 17 2026
- COLD WEATHER CONTINUES WITH FREEZING TEMPERATURES AGAIN
TONIGHT.
- LOW CHANCE FOR LIGHT RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING.
- DRY WITH A WARMING TREND THURSDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
(REST OF TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1100 AM CDT TUE MAR 17 2026
TUESDAY BEGAN WITH A HARD FREEZE ACROSS THE AREA. DAYBREAK
TEMPERATURES WERE IN THE LOW TO MID 20S WITH WIND CHILLS IN THE
TEENS. SCATTERED FLURRIES LINGERED ACROSS THE UPPER CUMBERLAND
ADDING TO THE REMINDER THAT WINTER IS NOT DONE JUST YET.
FOR THE REST OF TODAY, SKIES WILL BE MOSTLY SUNNY, BUT
TEMPERATURES WILL STAY WELL BELOW NORMAL. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE
UPPER 30S AND LOWER 40S WITH A CHILLY WEST-NORTHWEST BREEZE. COLD,
DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL STAY OVER THE AREA MOST OF TONIGHT WITH
LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO AROUND 30. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT.
A QUICK-HITTING CLIPPER SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING, BRINGING A LOW CHANCE FOR LIGHT RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
THE PLATEAU HAS A BETTER CHANCE OF SEEING SNOWFLAKES, BUT SHORT-
RAGE MODELS ARE NOT SHOWING MUCH IN THE WAY OF ACCUMULATION
ANYWHERE. PROBABILITIES ARE JUST 20 TO 30 PERCENT, SO MOST
LOCATIONS WILL HAVE JUST A PASSING SPRINKLE OR FLURRY WITH NO
MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION. OTHERWISE FOR WEDNESDAY, TEMPERATURES
WILL START TO REBOUND AS SOUTH BREEZES KICK IN AND SKIES CLEAR OUT
IN THE AFTERNOON.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1100 AM CDT TUE MAR 17 2026
THE MAIN STORY FOR THURSDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND WILL BE A BIG
WARMING TREND WITH A RETURN TO SPRING-LIKE CONDITIONS. ALTHOUGH WE
HAVE A MAINLY DRY FORECAST, WE WILL REMAIN UNDER NORTHWEST FLOW
ALOFT WITH A COUPLE OF WEAK CLIPPER SYSTEMS BRINGING EPISODES OF
CLOUDINESS AND PERHAPS A COUPLE OF VERY LOW SHOWER CHANCES, MAINLY
FOR THE UPPER CUMBERLAND.
STARTING NEXT WORK WEEK, MODELS SHOW A COLD FRONT DROPPING INTO
THE AREA BY MONDAY, BUT SOLUTIONS VARY WIDELY REGARDING HOW COLD
AND HOW LONG ANY COLDER AIR WILL STICK AROUND. GENERALLY, MOST
SOLUTIONS ARE NOT SHOWING ANY EXTREME COLD OR HAZARDOUS WEATHER
AT THIS TIME.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 631 PM CDT TUE MAR 17 2026
VFR CONTINUES FOR THIS TAF PERIOD AT ALL TERMINALS. CURRENT NW
WINDS ARE QUICKLY DIMINISHING AND WILL BECOME LIGHT/VARIABLE THIS
EVENING BEFORE SHIFTING TO A S DIRECTION OVERNIGHT INTO TOMORROW
MORNING AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING CLIPPER SYSTEM. THIS WILL BRING
LOWER CIGS OVERNIGHT WITH A <20% CHANCE FOR LIGHT RAIN OR SNOW
FLURRIES THROUGH MID MORNING. GIVEN LOW PROBABILITY, THERE WAS NO
TAF INCLUSION. CIGS ARE FORECAST TO STAY VFR, GENERALLY 040-060.
WINDS PREVAIL SW TOMORROW AFTERNOON WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS <20 KTS
WITH CLEARING SKIES AFTER THE CLIPPER SYSTEM DEPARTS TO THE EAST.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 30 60 41 71 / 20 20 0 0
CLARKSVILLE 30 60 42 71 / 20 20 0 0
CROSSVILLE 22 50 36 62 / 10 20 0 10
COLUMBIA 29 60 39 70 / 10 20 0 0
COOKEVILLE 26 52 38 63 / 10 20 0 10
JAMESTOWN 23 50 35 61 / 10 20 0 10
LAWRENCEBURG 29 58 39 69 / 10 20 0 0
MURFREESBORO 28 58 39 69 / 10 20 0 0
WAVERLY 30 61 43 71 / 20 20 0 0
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...13
LONG TERM....13
AVIATION.....SIZEMORE
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