647
FXUS64 KOHX 180515
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1215 AM CDT WED MAR 18 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1212 AM CDT WED MAR 18 2026
- COLD WEATHER CONTINUES WITH FREEZING TEMPERATURES AGAIN
TONIGHT.
- LOW CHANCE FOR LIGHT RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS WEDNESDAY MORNING.
- DRY WITH A WARMING TREND THURSDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1104 PM CDT TUE MAR 17 2026
QUIET AND COOL CONDITIONS PREVAIL TONIGHT AS TEMPERATURES SETTLE
INTO THE MID TO UPPER 20S. HIGH CLOUDS ARE BEGINNING TO STREAM IN
AHEAD OF A QUICK-HITTING CLIPPER SYSTEM THAT WILL BRING A BRIEF
SPELL OF SPRINKLES AND FLURRIES WEDNESDAY MORNING. NOTHING OF ANY
CONSEQUENCE, THOUGH, ESPECIALLY SINCE WE'LL SEE SIGNIFICANTLY
WARMER TEMPERATURES THAN WHAT WE'VE FELT OVER THE LAST 48 HOURS.
TEMPERATURES WILL WARM INTO THE UPPER 50S TO LOW 60S BY WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON WITH LOWS DROPPING INTO THE UPPER 30S TO LOW 40S
WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH CLEARING CONDITIONS. THE WARMING TREND WILL
CONTINUE THURSDAY AS TEMPERATURES RETURN BACK INTO THE 70S.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1104 PM CDT TUE MAR 17 2026
MIDDLE TN WILL REMAIN UNDER NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WHICH WILL
ALLOW FOR INSTANCES OF PASSING CLOUDS AND VERY LOW PRECIP CHANCES
THROUGH THE WEEKEND, GENERALLY LESS THAN 5%. THE WEATHER THIS
WEEKEND IS SHAPING UP TO BE FANTASTIC AS AN EXPANSIVE AREA OF HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDING ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST MOVES EAST, HELPING PUSH OUR
TEMPERATURES UP INTO THE 80S. A COLD FRONT WILL DEVELOP TO OUR
NORTHWEST AND PUSH THROUGH MONDAY, DROPPING TEMPS BACK INTO THE
60S. AT THIS TIME, RAIN CHANCES WITH THIS FRONT ARE VERY LOW,
BETWEEN 5-15% AND MOSTLY CONFINED TO OUR NORTHEAST COUNTIES.
BETTER, MORE WIDESPREAD RAIN CHANCE MAY RETURN NEXT TUESDAY, BUT
THERE'S A DECENT SPREAD IN MODEL GUIDANCE AT THIS TIME THAT KEEPS
CONFIDENCE IN THIS OUTCOME LOW. FOR NOW, ENJOY THE MOSTLY DRY AND
WARMER WEATHER! THERE'S CURRENTLY NO SIGNAL FOR SEVERE STORMS OVER
THE NEXT 7 DAYS.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1212 AM CDT WED MAR 18 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL FOR THE TAF PERIOD. THERE IS A SMALL
CHANCE (<20%) OF A LIGHT RAIN/SNOW SHOWER THIS MORNING BUT THERE
WILL BE NO IMPACTS TO VIS OR CIGS. SE WINDS WILL TURN TO THE S
AFTER 12Z AND INCREASE TO 5-10 KTS WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KTS THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL DECREASE TO AROUND 5 KTS AFTER 00Z.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 60 41 71 48 / 20 0 0 0
CLARKSVILLE 61 41 71 48 / 20 0 0 0
CROSSVILLE 51 35 63 43 / 20 0 10 0
COLUMBIA 60 38 71 47 / 20 0 0 0
COOKEVILLE 53 38 64 45 / 20 0 10 0
JAMESTOWN 51 35 64 42 / 20 0 0 0
LAWRENCEBURG 58 38 69 47 / 10 0 0 0
MURFREESBORO 58 38 69 47 / 20 0 0 0
WAVERLY 61 43 71 49 / 20 0 0 0
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...BAGGETT
LONG TERM....BAGGETT
AVIATION.....REAGAN
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