966
FXUS64 KOHX 181637
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1137 AM CDT WED MAR 18 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1137 AM CDT WED MAR 18 2026
- DRY WITH A WARMING TREND THURSDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
- LOW CHANCE OF RAIN ON THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU MONDAY WITH A COLD
FRONT PASSING THROUGH.
SHORT TERM
(REST OF TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1137 AM CDT WED MAR 18 2026
A CLOUDY, BUT SLIGHTLY WARMER DAY IS UNDERWAY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE.
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS PLENTY OF LOWER AND MID-LEVEL CLOUDS IN THE
MID-STATE, BUT WE SHOULD START TO SEE THIS CLOUD DECK CLEAR TO THE
SE INTO THIS AFTERNOON, AND TAKE THE SHOWERS WITH IT. TEMPERATURES
TODAY WILL BE WARMER, INTO THE LOW 60S ALONG THE TENNESSEE RIVER,
AND THE 50S ON THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU.
THURSDAY WILL START OFF IN THE 30S AND 40S AND WARM INTO THE 60S AND
70S UNDER MORE CLOUDY SKIES. NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT MAKES FOR EASY
PASSAGE FOR SHORTWAVES ACROSS THE STATE, LEADING TO CLOUDS AND LOW
PRECIPITATION CHANCES (<20%) FOR THE END OF THE WORK WEEK.
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1137 AM CDT WED MAR 18 2026
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN TO OUR SOUTH INTO THE WEEKEND, LETTING
OUR TEMPERATURES REBOUND NICELY INTO THE 70S AND LOW 80S FOR HIGHS.
THIS DRY PERIOD WILL BE BRIEF FOR PARTS OF THE AREA ON THE
CUMBERLAND PLATEAU, HOWEVER, AS SOME LOW END RAIN CHANCES (<20%)
ENTER WITH A COLD FRONT ON MONDAY MORNING. QPF WITH THIS DOES NOT
LOOK HIGH CURRENTLY, BUT THERE IS STILL QUITE A BIT OF DIVERGENCE IN
THE GUIDANCE SO A BIT TOO SOON TO SAY MUCH MORE ON THIS OPPORTUNITY
FOR PRECIPITATION. AFTER THE COLD FRONT ON MONDAY, HIGHS WILL RETURN
TO THE 60S AND 70S THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD WITH
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE LOOKING TO BUILD IN BEHIND THE FRONT.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 549 AM CDT WED MAR 18 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL FOR THE FORECAST PERIOD. THERE IS A
LOW CHANCE (<20%) OF A LIGHT SHOWER THROUGH THE MORNING AT THE
TERMINALS BUT THERE WILL BE NO IMPACT TO VIS. S/SSW WINDS WILL
INCREASE BY 15-18Z WITH GUSTS UP TO 15-20 KTS THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL DECREASE TO 5 KTS OR LESS AFTER 19/00Z.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 41 72 48 78 / 0 10 0 0
CLARKSVILLE 42 72 48 79 / 0 10 0 0
CROSSVILLE 35 63 42 70 / 0 10 0 0
COLUMBIA 40 71 46 78 / 0 10 0 0
COOKEVILLE 38 65 45 73 / 0 10 0 0
JAMESTOWN 36 64 42 71 / 0 10 0 0
LAWRENCEBURG 40 70 46 76 / 0 0 0 0
MURFREESBORO 40 70 46 77 / 0 10 0 0
WAVERLY 43 71 50 78 / 0 10 0 0
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...HOLLEY
LONG TERM....HOLLEY
AVIATION.....REAGAN
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