490
FXUS64 KOHX 181656
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1156 AM CDT WED MAR 18 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1152 AM CDT WED MAR 18 2026
- DRY WITH A WARMING TREND THURSDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
- LOW CHANCE OF RAIN ON THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU MONDAY WITH A COLD
FRONT PASSING THROUGH.
SHORT TERM
(REST OF TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1137 AM CDT WED MAR 18 2026
A CLOUDY, BUT SLIGHTLY WARMER DAY IS UNDERWAY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE.
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS PLENTY OF LOWER AND MID-LEVEL CLOUDS IN THE
MID-STATE, BUT WE SHOULD START TO SEE THIS CLOUD DECK CLEAR TO THE
SE INTO THIS AFTERNOON, AND TAKE THE SHOWERS WITH IT. TEMPERATURES
TODAY WILL BE WARMER, INTO THE LOW 60S ALONG THE TENNESSEE RIVER,
AND THE 50S ON THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU.
THURSDAY WILL START OFF IN THE 30S AND 40S AND WARM INTO THE 60S AND
70S UNDER MORE CLOUDY SKIES. NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT MAKES FOR EASY
PASSAGE FOR SHORTWAVES ACROSS THE STATE, LEADING TO CLOUDS AND LOW
PRECIPITATION CHANCES (<20%) FOR THE END OF THE WORK WEEK.
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1137 AM CDT WED MAR 18 2026
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN TO OUR SOUTH INTO THE WEEKEND, LETTING
OUR TEMPERATURES REBOUND NICELY INTO THE 70S AND LOW 80S FOR HIGHS.
THIS DRY PERIOD WILL BE BRIEF FOR PARTS OF THE AREA ON THE
CUMBERLAND PLATEAU, HOWEVER, AS SOME LOW END RAIN CHANCES (<20%)
ENTER WITH A COLD FRONT ON MONDAY MORNING. QPF WITH THIS DOES NOT
LOOK HIGH CURRENTLY, BUT THERE IS STILL QUITE A BIT OF DIVERGENCE IN
THE GUIDANCE SO A BIT TOO SOON TO SAY MUCH MORE ON THIS OPPORTUNITY
FOR PRECIPITATION. AFTER THE COLD FRONT ON MONDAY, HIGHS WILL RETURN
TO THE 60S AND 70S THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD WITH
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE LOOKING TO BUILD IN BEHIND THE FRONT.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1152 AM CDT WED MAR 18 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THIS TAF PERIOD. THE PERIOD
WILL BEGIN WITH SCATTERED VERY LIGHT RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS OVER
THE AREA PRODUCING TRACE PRECIP AMOUNTS WITH NO VSBY IMPACTS.
AFTERNOON WINDS WILL BE SSW WITH GUSTS UP TO 20KT. THE CLOUDS AND
LIGHT SHOWERS WILL MOVE OUT BY 00Z AS SSW WINDS BECOME LIGHT.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 60 41 72 49 / 20 0 10 0
CLARKSVILLE 60 42 72 49 / 20 0 10 0
CROSSVILLE 50 35 63 43 / 20 0 10 0
COLUMBIA 60 40 71 47 / 20 0 0 0
COOKEVILLE 53 38 65 46 / 20 0 10 0
JAMESTOWN 49 36 64 43 / 10 0 10 0
LAWRENCEBURG 58 40 70 47 / 20 0 0 0
MURFREESBORO 58 40 70 47 / 20 0 10 0
WAVERLY 62 43 71 50 / 20 0 10 0
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...HOLLEY
LONG TERM....HOLLEY
AVIATION.....13
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