007
FXUS64 KOHX 190317
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1017 PM CDT WED MAR 18 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1015 PM CDT WED MAR 18 2026
- MOSTLY DRY WEATHER WITH A WARMING TREND THROUGH SUNDAY.
- LOW RAIN CHANCES (<30%) ON MONDAY ASSOCIATED WITH A COLD FRONT
PASSAGE.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1015 PM CDT WED MAR 18 2026
SYNOPTICALLY WE'LL REMAIN IN A FAVORABLE PATTERN FOR DRY, STABLE
WEATHER THROUGH FRIDAY THANKS TO A RIDGE ACROSS THE WEST AND
A TROUGH ACROSS THE EAST WHICH SITUATES US IN NORTHWESTERLY FLOW
ALOFT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN JUST TO OUR EAST WHICH WILL
PROMOTE CONTINUED SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY. AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WILL BE MUCH WARMER ON FRIDAY AS
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS/WARM ADVECTION INCREASES AHEAD OF A
FRONT/CLIPPER SYSTEM PASSING TO OUR NORTHEAST.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1015 PM CDT WED MAR 18 2026
NOT MUCH IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE WITH THE OVERALL WEATHER PATTERN
THIS WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK. GUIDANCE FAVORS CONTINUED
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT AND PASSING SHORTWAVES IN THE REGION.
THE MOST NOTABLE SYSTEM WILL BE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY AS A
STRONGER COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH THE TN VALLEY BRINGING A BRIEF
COOL-DOWN AFTER LOW RAIN CHANCES (<30%). WE SHOULD BE BACK ON THE
WARM-UP AGAIN MID NEXT WEEK. ALL THINGS CONSIDERED, THIS IS A
VERY GOOD WEATHER PATTERN.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1015 PM CDT WED MAR 18 2026
ALL MIDDLE TN AIRPORTS ARE VFR THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD WITH S TO SW
WINDS 5-10 KTS TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 41 72 48 78 / 0 0 0 0
CLARKSVILLE 42 73 49 79 / 0 0 0 0
CROSSVILLE 35 64 42 70 / 0 0 0 10
COLUMBIA 39 71 47 78 / 0 0 0 0
COOKEVILLE 38 65 45 73 / 0 0 0 0
JAMESTOWN 36 64 43 71 / 0 10 0 0
LAWRENCEBURG 39 70 48 76 / 0 0 0 0
MURFREESBORO 39 71 47 77 / 0 0 0 0
WAVERLY 43 71 50 78 / 0 0 0 0
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...SIZEMORE
LONG TERM....SIZEMORE
AVIATION.....SIZEMORE
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