677
FXUS64 KOHX 190514
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1214 AM CDT THU MAR 19 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1213 AM CDT THU MAR 19 2026
- MOSTLY DRY WEATHER WITH A WARMING TREND THROUGH SUNDAY.
- LOW RAIN CHANCES (<30%) ON MONDAY ASSOCIATED WITH A COLD FRONT
PASSAGE.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1015 PM CDT WED MAR 18 2026
SYNOPTICALLY WE'LL REMAIN IN A FAVORABLE PATTERN FOR DRY, STABLE
WEATHER THROUGH FRIDAY THANKS TO A RIDGE ACROSS THE WEST AND
A TROUGH ACROSS THE EAST WHICH SITUATES US IN NORTHWESTERLY FLOW
ALOFT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN JUST TO OUR EAST WHICH WILL
PROMOTE CONTINUED SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY. AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WILL BE MUCH WARMER ON FRIDAY AS
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS/WARM ADVECTION INCREASES AHEAD OF A
FRONT/CLIPPER SYSTEM PASSING TO OUR NORTHEAST.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1015 PM CDT WED MAR 18 2026
NOT MUCH IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE WITH THE OVERALL WEATHER PATTERN
THIS WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK. GUIDANCE FAVORS CONTINUED
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT AND PASSING SHORTWAVES IN THE REGION.
THE MOST NOTABLE SYSTEM WILL BE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY AS A
STRONGER COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH THE TN VALLEY BRINGING A BRIEF
COOL-DOWN AFTER LOW RAIN CHANCES (<30%). WE SHOULD BE BACK ON THE
WARM-UP AGAIN MID NEXT WEEK. ALL THINGS CONSIDERED, THIS IS A
VERY GOOD WEATHER PATTERN.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1213 AM CDT THU MAR 19 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE TAF PERIOD. S/SSW WINDS WILL
INCREASE TO 5-8 KTS AFTER 19/15Z AND DECREASE BELOW 5 KTS AGAIN
AFTER 20/00Z.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 72 49 79 57 / 0 0 0 0
CLARKSVILLE 72 49 79 57 / 0 0 0 0
CROSSVILLE 64 42 71 53 / 0 0 0 10
COLUMBIA 72 47 78 55 / 0 0 0 0
COOKEVILLE 65 45 72 54 / 0 0 0 10
JAMESTOWN 65 43 71 54 / 10 0 0 10
LAWRENCEBURG 70 47 76 55 / 0 0 0 0
MURFREESBORO 71 47 77 56 / 0 0 0 0
WAVERLY 72 50 79 57 / 0 0 0 0
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...SIZEMORE
LONG TERM....SIZEMORE
AVIATION.....REAGAN
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