505
FXUS64 KOHX 191731
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1231 PM CDT THU MAR 19 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1228 PM CDT THU MAR 19 2026
- MOSTLY DRY WEATHER WITH A WARMING TREND THROUGH SUNDAY.
- LOW RAIN CHANCES (<30%) ON MONDAY ASSOCIATED WITH A COLD FRONT
PASSAGE.
SHORT TERM
(REST OF TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1027 AM CDT THU MAR 19 2026
CLOUDS HAVE CLEARED AND MADE THE WAY FOR SUNSHINE IN THE MID-STATE.
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO WARM INTO THE 60S AND 70S, WITH SOME
PASSING CLOUDS POSSIBLE. NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT MAKES FOR EASY
PASSAGE FOR SHORTWAVES ACROSS THE STATE, BUT SOME SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE TO OUR EAST SHOULD KEEP THINGS AT BAY FOR THE REMAINDER OF
THE WORK WEEK. THIS HIGH PRESSURE WILL ALLOW FOR SW WINDS ACROSS
MIDDLE TENNESSEE, CONTINUING THE FLOW OF WAA. HIGHS INTO FRIDAY
SHOULD REFLECT THIS, GETTING INTO THE UPPER 70S.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1027 AM CDT THU MAR 19 2026
HIGH PRESSURE WILL HOLD STRONG TO OUR EAST AND SOUTH INTO THE
WEEKEND, LETTING OUR TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO BE MUCH WARMER THAN
AVERAGE. HIGHS ON SUNDAY LOOK TO REACH THE MID 80S, WHICH WOULD
THREATEN CURRENT HIGH TEMPERATURE RECORDS FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.
THIS DRY PERIOD WILL BE BRIEF FOR PARTS OF THE AREA ON THE
CUMBERLAND PLATEAU, HOWEVER, AS SOME LOW END RAIN CHANCES (<30%)
ENTER WITH A COLD FRONT. QPF WITH THIS DOES NOT LOOK HIGH CURRENTLY,
BUT THERE IS STILL QUITE A BIT OF DIVERGENCE IN THE GUIDANCE SO A
BIT TOO SOON TO SAY MUCH MORE ON THIS OPPORTUNITY FOR PRECIPITATION.
GUIDANCE HAS SEEMED TO TREND DOWNWARD ON THE EXISTENCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS IN OUR AREA FOR THIS FRONT, SO WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR
THIS TREND AS IT EVOLVES. AFTER THE COLD FRONT ON MONDAY, HIGHS WILL
RETURN TO THE 60S AND 70S THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST
PERIOD WITH SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE LOOKING TO BUILD IN BEHIND THE
FRONT.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1228 PM CDT THU MAR 19 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE TAF PERIOD. SSW WINDS WILL
CONTINUE MOSTLY 5-8KT THROUGH 20/15Z, THEN SSW WINDS WILL BECOME
GUSTY TO 20KT TOWARD THE END OF THE PERIOD.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 49 79 59 82 / 0 10 0 10
CLARKSVILLE 51 80 58 82 / 0 0 0 0
CROSSVILLE 43 72 55 76 / 0 10 10 20
COLUMBIA 48 79 57 84 / 0 0 0 10
COOKEVILLE 47 73 56 77 / 0 10 10 10
JAMESTOWN 44 72 55 75 / 0 10 10 10
LAWRENCEBURG 48 77 57 82 / 0 0 0 10
MURFREESBORO 47 78 57 83 / 0 10 0 10
WAVERLY 52 79 58 82 / 0 0 0 0
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...HOLLEY
LONG TERM....HOLLEY
AVIATION.....13
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