958
FXUS64 KOHX 200347
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1047 PM CDT THU MAR 19 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1045 PM CDT THU MAR 19 2026
- A WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY.
- LOW RAIN AND STORM CHANCES (<30%) SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.
- LOW RAIN CHANCES (<30%) SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY WITH A COLD
FRONT, THEN COOLER FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1045 PM CDT THU MAR 19 2026
A BROAD RIDGE/TROUGH PATTERN REMAINS SITUATED ACROSS THE CONUS
WHICH IS PROVIDING NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AND STABLE WEATHER TO
MIDDLE TN. A SURFACE RIDGE REMAINS SITUATED ACROSS THE EAST COAST
WHICH MEANS A SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY BREEZE WILL PERSIST INTO
THE WEEKEND. ONE THING THAT IS BECOMING A LITTLE MORE EVIDENT IN
LATEST GUIDANCE IS A CLIPPER SYSTEM FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE AREA
ON SATURDAY. THERE COULD BE ENOUGH LIFT/MOISTURE NEAR THE
SHORTWAVE AND ASSOCIATED FRONT TO GET SOME SHOWERS OR A STORM
GOING SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. POPS HAVE INCREASED AS A
RESULT, BUT MOST AREAS APPEAR TO REMAIN DRY. OTHERWISE WE'LL ENJOY
WARM AFTERNOONS WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S AND 80S BOTH DAYS.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1045 PM CDT THU MAR 19 2026
WARM WEATHER WILL PERSIST INTO SUNDAY AND WE SHOULD BE MOSTLY DRY
WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE 80S WITH A STOUT SOUTHWESTERLY WIND.
IN FACT, WE MAY FLIRT WITH RECORD HIGHS THAT DAY. HOWEVER, ANOTHER
CLIPPER SYSTEM/SHORTWAVE EMBEDDED IN NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL
PASS THROUGH THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY. THE ASSOCIATED
COLD FRONT LOOKS TO ADVANCE ACROSS THE AREA WITH A MORE
SUBSTANTIAL DROP IN TEMPERATURES THAT WILL ALLOW FOR A PERIOD OF
COOLER, MORE SEASONAL WEATHER INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. A LOW CHANCE
FOR RAIN PERSIST IN THE FORECAST WITH THIS FRONTAL PASSAGE.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 630 PM CDT THU MAR 19 2026
VFR CONDITIONS CONTINUE ACROSS MIDDLE TN AIRPORTS. S WINDS
OVERNIGHT AT 5-8 KTS BECOME SW AT 8-12 KTS TOMORROW WITH
OCCASIONAL GUSTS 15-20 KTS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 50 81 58 84 / 0 0 10 20
CLARKSVILLE 51 81 58 82 / 0 0 10 10
CROSSVILLE 43 72 55 77 / 0 0 10 30
COLUMBIA 47 80 57 84 / 0 0 0 10
COOKEVILLE 46 73 55 77 / 0 0 10 30
JAMESTOWN 44 73 55 77 / 0 10 10 30
LAWRENCEBURG 47 78 56 82 / 0 0 0 10
MURFREESBORO 47 79 56 83 / 0 0 10 20
WAVERLY 52 80 58 82 / 0 0 10 10
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...SIZEMORE
LONG TERM....SIZEMORE
AVIATION.....SIZEMORE
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