681
FXUS64 KOHX 201122
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
622 AM CDT FRI MAR 20 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 619 AM CDT FRI MAR 20 2026
- A WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY.
- LOW RAIN AND STORM CHANCES (<30%) SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.
- LOW RAIN CHANCES (<30%) SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY WITH A COLD
FRONT, THEN COOLER FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1045 PM CDT THU MAR 19 2026
A BROAD RIDGE/TROUGH PATTERN REMAINS SITUATED ACROSS THE CONUS
WHICH IS PROVIDING NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AND STABLE WEATHER TO
MIDDLE TN. A SURFACE RIDGE REMAINS SITUATED ACROSS THE EAST COAST
WHICH MEANS A SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY BREEZE WILL PERSIST INTO
THE WEEKEND. ONE THING THAT IS BECOMING A LITTLE MORE EVIDENT IN
LATEST GUIDANCE IS A CLIPPER SYSTEM FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE AREA
ON SATURDAY. THERE COULD BE ENOUGH LIFT/MOISTURE NEAR THE
SHORTWAVE AND ASSOCIATED FRONT TO GET SOME SHOWERS OR A STORM
GOING SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. POPS HAVE INCREASED AS A
RESULT, BUT MOST AREAS APPEAR TO REMAIN DRY. OTHERWISE WE'LL ENJOY
WARM AFTERNOONS WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S AND 80S BOTH DAYS.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1045 PM CDT THU MAR 19 2026
WARM WEATHER WILL PERSIST INTO SUNDAY AND WE SHOULD BE MOSTLY DRY
WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE 80S WITH A STOUT SOUTHWESTERLY WIND.
IN FACT, WE MAY FLIRT WITH RECORD HIGHS THAT DAY. HOWEVER, ANOTHER
CLIPPER SYSTEM/SHORTWAVE EMBEDDED IN NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL
PASS THROUGH THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY. THE ASSOCIATED
COLD FRONT LOOKS TO ADVANCE ACROSS THE AREA WITH A MORE
SUBSTANTIAL DROP IN TEMPERATURES THAT WILL ALLOW FOR A PERIOD OF
COOLER, MORE SEASONAL WEATHER INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. A LOW CHANCE
FOR RAIN PERSIST IN THE FORECAST WITH THIS FRONTAL PASSAGE.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 619 AM CDT FRI MAR 20 2026
VFR WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. LIGHT SOUTH WINDS WILL
BECOME SSW WITH GUSTS AROUND 20KT STARTING AROUND 15Z. WIND GUSTS
WILL DIMINISH AROUND 00Z.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 81 58 84 60 / 0 10 20 20
CLARKSVILLE 81 58 83 60 / 0 10 10 10
CROSSVILLE 73 56 77 57 / 0 10 30 30
COLUMBIA 80 58 85 60 / 0 0 10 10
COOKEVILLE 74 56 79 59 / 0 10 30 30
JAMESTOWN 73 56 77 56 / 10 10 30 30
LAWRENCEBURG 78 56 83 59 / 0 0 10 10
MURFREESBORO 80 56 84 60 / 0 10 20 20
WAVERLY 81 59 83 62 / 0 10 10 10
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...SIZEMORE
LONG TERM....SIZEMORE
AVIATION.....13
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