336
FXUS64 KOHX 211621
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1121 AM CDT SAT MAR 21 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1107 AM CDT SAT MAR 21 2026
- MIDDLE TENNESSEE WILL GET TO ENJOY A VERY WARM WEEKEND WITH
NEAR-RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES, ESPECIALLY ON SUNDAY.
- THERE ARE LOW RAIN AND STORM CHANCES (<40%) SATURDAY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING, MAINLY ALONG THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU.
- THERE ARE ADDITIONAL LOW RAIN CHANCES AT TIMES THROUGHOUT THE
UPCOMING WEEK ALONG WITH CONTINUED ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES.
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR ANY HAZARDOUS WEATHER.
SHORT TERM
(REST OF TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1107 AM CDT SAT MAR 21 2026
A STRONG SURFACE HIGH REMAINS ANCHORED OVER THE GULF THIS
AFTERNOON, WHILE A WEAK SURFACE BOUNDARY SITS JUST TO OUR NORTH.
THE SURFACE BOUNDARY IS GRADUALLY ROTATING CLOCKWISE AROUND THE
PERIPHERY OF THE SURFACE HIGH AND IS EXPECTED TO DIP INTO EAST
TENNESSEE LATER TODAY, SO THERE ARE LOW RAIN AND STORM CHANCES
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING, MAINLY ALONG THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU.
ELSEWHERE, WE CAN LOOK FORWARD TO ABUNDANT SUNSHINE TODAY AND
AGAIN TOMORROW AS TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO CLIMB TO NEAR RECORD
VALUES, ESPECIALLY ON SUNDAY.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1107 AM CDT SAT MAR 21 2026
SUNDAY NIGHT, A SOUTHEASTWARD-MOVING COLD FRONT WILL SLIP THROUGH
MIDDLE TENNESSE, PERHAPS BRINGING A SPOTTY SHOWER OR TWO TO THE
MID STATE, BUT ALSO DROPPING OUR TEMPERATURES CLOSER TO SEASONAL
NORMALS FOR ONE WHOLE DAY BEFORE WE START TO WARM RIGHT BACK UP.
NEXT WEEK, HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE OUR WEATHER PATTERN MOST
OF THE TIME, ALTHOUGH WE WILL ALSO UNDERGO PERSISTENT MOISTURE
ADVECTION, WHICH MAY INTERACT WITH A SHORTWAVE OR TWO TO PRODUCE
MAINLY LOW RAIN CHANCES, ESPECIALLY FROM MID-WEEK ONWARD. OVERALL,
7-DAY QPF TOTALS ARE ANEMIC, WITH MOST OF MIDDLE TENNESSEE
REMAINING RAIN-FREE, WHILE SOME AREAS MAINLY EAST OF I-65 CAN
EXPECT TO PICK UP A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH OF RAIN ALONG THE
WAY. THERE IS VERY LITTLE CHANCE FOR ANY HAZARDOUS WEATHER FOR AT
LEAST THE NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 609 AM CDT SAT MAR 21 2026
VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS
WILL OCCASIONALLY BE GUSTY TO 15 TO 20 KNOTS THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON WILL FAVOR THE
PLATEAU, AND A PROB30 GROUP REMAINS FOR CSV. GUSTY WINDS WILL
DIMINISH AFTER SUNSET.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 85 62 86 53 / 10 10 0 10
CLARKSVILLE 86 63 87 48 / 10 0 0 10
CROSSVILLE 78 59 80 53 / 30 20 0 20
COLUMBIA 86 61 84 53 / 10 0 0 10
COOKEVILLE 80 60 81 53 / 20 20 0 30
JAMESTOWN 78 58 81 50 / 30 20 0 50
LAWRENCEBURG 84 60 84 55 / 10 0 0 10
MURFREESBORO 85 61 85 55 / 10 10 0 10
WAVERLY 85 63 85 48 / 10 0 0 10
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...ROSE
LONG TERM....ROSE
AVIATION.....CLEMENTS
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page