891
FXUS64 KOHX 211706
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1206 PM CDT SAT MAR 21 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1203 PM CDT SAT MAR 21 2026
- MIDDLE TENNESSEE WILL GET TO ENJOY A VERY WARM WEEKEND WITH
NEAR-RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES, ESPECIALLY ON SUNDAY.
- THERE ARE LOW RAIN AND STORM CHANCES (<40%) SATURDAY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING, MAINLY ALONG THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU.
- THERE ARE ADDITIONAL LOW RAIN CHANCES AT TIMES THROUGHOUT THE
UPCOMING WEEK ALONG WITH CONTINUED ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES.
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR ANY HAZARDOUS WEATHER.
SHORT TERM
(REST OF TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1107 AM CDT SAT MAR 21 2026
A STRONG SURFACE HIGH REMAINS ANCHORED OVER THE GULF THIS
AFTERNOON, WHILE A WEAK SURFACE BOUNDARY SITS JUST TO OUR NORTH.
THE SURFACE BOUNDARY IS GRADUALLY ROTATING CLOCKWISE AROUND THE
PERIPHERY OF THE SURFACE HIGH AND IS EXPECTED TO DIP INTO EAST
TENNESSEE LATER TODAY, SO THERE ARE LOW RAIN AND STORM CHANCES
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING, MAINLY ALONG THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU.
ELSEWHERE, WE CAN LOOK FORWARD TO ABUNDANT SUNSHINE TODAY AND
AGAIN TOMORROW AS TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO CLIMB TO NEAR RECORD
VALUES, ESPECIALLY ON SUNDAY.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1107 AM CDT SAT MAR 21 2026
SUNDAY NIGHT, A SOUTHEASTWARD-MOVING COLD FRONT WILL SLIP THROUGH
MIDDLE TENNESSE, PERHAPS BRINGING A SPOTTY SHOWER OR TWO TO THE
MID STATE, BUT ALSO DROPPING OUR TEMPERATURES CLOSER TO SEASONAL
NORMALS FOR ONE WHOLE DAY BEFORE WE START TO WARM RIGHT BACK UP.
NEXT WEEK, HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE OUR WEATHER PATTERN MOST
OF THE TIME, ALTHOUGH WE WILL ALSO UNDERGO PERSISTENT MOISTURE
ADVECTION, WHICH MAY INTERACT WITH A SHORTWAVE OR TWO TO PRODUCE
MAINLY LOW RAIN CHANCES, ESPECIALLY FROM MID-WEEK ONWARD. OVERALL,
7-DAY QPF TOTALS ARE ANEMIC, WITH MOST OF MIDDLE TENNESSEE
REMAINING RAIN-FREE, WHILE SOME AREAS MAINLY EAST OF I-65 CAN
EXPECT TO PICK UP A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH OF RAIN ALONG THE
WAY. THERE IS VERY LITTLE CHANCE FOR ANY HAZARDOUS WEATHER FOR AT
LEAST THE NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1203 PM CDT SAT MAR 21 2026
VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS
WILL OCCASIONALLY BE GUSTY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON AT 15 TO 20
KNOTS. WHILE THESE WINDS WILL DIMINISH AROUND 01Z, THEY WILL
STRENGTHEN AGAIN TO 15 TO 20 KNOTS AROUND 15Z SUNDAY. LOW CHANCE
FOR ISOLATED SHOWERS/STORMS THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE PLATEAU AND
DID MAINTAIN THE PROB30 GROUP FOR TSRA AT CSV. OTHERWISE, THE OTHER
TERMINALS SHOULD STAY DRY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 62 86 53 66 / 10 0 10 0
CLARKSVILLE 63 87 48 64 / 0 0 10 0
CROSSVILLE 59 80 53 63 / 20 0 20 0
COLUMBIA 61 84 53 69 / 0 0 10 0
COOKEVILLE 60 81 53 63 / 20 0 30 0
JAMESTOWN 58 81 50 61 / 20 0 50 0
LAWRENCEBURG 60 84 55 68 / 0 0 10 0
MURFREESBORO 61 85 55 67 / 10 0 10 0
WAVERLY 63 85 48 66 / 0 0 10 0
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...ROSE
LONG TERM....ROSE
AVIATION.....CLEMENTS
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