701
FXUS64 KOHX 220348
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1048 PM CDT SAT MAR 21 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1045 PM CDT SAT MAR 21 2026
- NEAR RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES SUNDAY.
- COOLER START TO THE WEEK BUT STILL ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES.
- LOW RAIN CHANCES THIS WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1045 PM CDT SAT MAR 21 2026
SHORT WAVE RIDGE WILL BUILD IN FOR SUNDAY AND THAT WILL BRING
ANOTHER HOT DAY TO MIDDLE TN. WE WILL SEE HIGHS PUSH INTO THE MID
TO UPPER 80S. THERE IS AT LEAST A LOW CHANCE (10-20%) OF HITTING
90 IN SOME AREAS, MAINLY FOR NASHVILLE AND NORTHWEST AREAS. A COLD
FRONT SITTING TO NORTH AND A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING INTO THE
NORTHEAST WILL BRING SOME HIGH CLOUDS THROUGHOUT THE DAY BUT NO
PRECIP IS EXPECTED. WINDS WILL BE BREEZY IN THE AFTERNOON GUSTING
UP TO 25 MPH.
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL THEN PUSH INTO THE NORTHEAST SUNDAY
NIGHT PUSHING A WEAKENING COLD FRONT SOUTH INTO MIDDLE TN. THIS
WILL BRING A LOW CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING WITH THE HIGHEST CHANCES ALONG
THE TN/KY BOARDER AND OVER THE PLATEAU. INSTABILITY WILL BE
LIMITED BY SUNDAY NIGHT WHEN WE SEE THE BEST FORCING, THIS WILL
KEEP THE THUNDERSTORM THREAT LOW. THE BIGGER IMPACT WITH THE
FRONT WILL BE THE COOLER TEMPERATURES, HIGHS WILL BE 15-25 DEGREES
COOLER THAN SUNDAY WITH HIGHS ONLY IN THE 60S.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1045 PM CDT SAT MAR 21 2026
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL START TO AMPLIFY EARLY IN THE WEEK WITH
WEAK TROUGHING OVER THE EASTERN US. THIS WILL SET US UP FOR SOME
WEAK SHORT WAVES THAT WILL PUSH OVER THE AREA TUESDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY. WE WILL LACK MOISTURE AND SOUNDINGS SHOW QUITE A BIT OF
DRY AIR, THIS WILL KEEP THE PRECIP CHANCES VERY LOW (<20%). UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH AND SURFACE LOW WILL PUSH INTO THE NORTHEAST LATE
WEEK AND THAT WILL PUSH A COLD FRONT SOUTH. THIS WILL BRING
SLIGHTLY BETTER RAIN CHANCES FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY BUT OVERALL
CHANCES ARE STILL LOW. AFTER THE COOL DOWN MONDAY WE WILL SEE
HIGHS WARM BACK INTO THE 70S AND INTO THE 80S BY THURSDAY. THE
COLD FRONT FRIDAY WILL COOL THINGS BACK INTO THE 60S AND 70S.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 607 PM CDT SAT MAR 21 2026
VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. MID TO HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS
WILL MAINLY CLEAR OUT OVERNIGHT WITH HIGH CLOUDS BUILDING BACK IN
TOMORROW MORNING. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL DROP BELOW 9 KNOTS THROUGH
14Z. WINDS PICK BACK UP AFTER 15Z WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KNOTS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 62 87 53 66 / 0 0 20 0
CLARKSVILLE 63 87 47 64 / 0 0 20 0
CROSSVILLE 59 79 53 63 / 20 0 20 0
COLUMBIA 61 85 52 69 / 0 0 10 0
COOKEVILLE 59 80 53 63 / 20 0 30 0
JAMESTOWN 59 80 50 61 / 20 0 30 0
LAWRENCEBURG 60 84 53 68 / 0 0 10 0
MURFREESBORO 61 85 53 67 / 10 0 10 0
WAVERLY 63 86 47 66 / 0 0 10 0
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...MUELLER
LONG TERM....MUELLER
AVIATION.....MUELLER
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page