787
FXUS64 KOHX 061535
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1035 AM CDT MON APR 6 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1022 AM CDT MON APR 6 2026
- EXPECT FAIR WEATHER THROUGH TOMORROW NIGHT WITH A COUPLE OF MORE
COOL MORNINGS.
- WARMING TEMPERATURES WILL SET IN STARTING ON WEDNESDAY WITH
NEAR-RECORD HIGHS POSSIBLE THIS WEEKEND.
- NO MEANINGFUL RAINFALL CHANCES ARE IN STORE AT LEAST UNTIL EARLY
NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(REST OF TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1022 AM CDT MON APR 6 2026
A SURFACE RIDGE SITUATED TO OUR WEST IS THE DOMINANT WEATHER
FEATURE AFFECTING MIDDLE TENNESSEE THIS MORNING, AND HIGH PRESSURE
IS GOING TO REMAIN THE THEME THROUGHOUT THE 7-DAY FORECAST. WE CAN
LOOK FORWARD TO A COUPLE OF MORE CHILLY NIGHTS BEFORE RETURN FLOW
SETS IN AND KICKS OFF THE NEXT WARMING TREND.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1022 AM CDT MON APR 6 2026
TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO WARM UP STARTING ON WEDNESDAY, AND THEY
WILL KEEP WARMING UP RIGHT THROUGH THE WEEKEND. IN FACT, NEAR-
RECORD WARMTH IS POSSIBLE THIS WEEKEND, WITH THE NBM GIVING US
WIDESPREAD HIGHS IN THE MID 80S ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY, WITH A LOW
CHANCE OF SOME SPOTS EVEN REACHING 90 DEGREES THOSE TWO DAYS. THE
NBM TEMPERATURES REMAIN TIGHTLY CLUSTERED THROUGH MONDAY, SO
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS REASONABLY HIGH. MEANWHILE, THERE IS NO
QPF AT LEAST THROUGH DAY 7. THERE ARE LOW POPS SHOWING UP NEXT
MONDAY, WITH ONLY SLIGHTLY GREATER POPS FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY,
BUT WE DON'T REALLY KNOW WHEN THE NEXT MEANINGFUL RAINFALL EVENT
MIGHT OCCUR IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE. ALTHOUGH WE DID RECEIVE SOME
MUCH-NEEDED RAINFALL OVER THE WEEKEND, THE DRY WEEK AHEAD DOES NOT
BODE WELL FOR THE WORSENING DROUGHT CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 547 AM CDT MON APR 6 2026
VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD WITH PASSING HIGH
CLOUDS AND LIGHT NORTHERLY WINDS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 69 44 68 42 / 0 0 0 0
CLARKSVILLE 69 42 65 39 / 0 0 0 0
CROSSVILLE 64 39 63 39 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBIA 69 42 68 41 / 0 0 0 0
COOKEVILLE 64 42 63 42 / 0 0 0 0
JAMESTOWN 64 38 61 37 / 0 0 0 0
LAWRENCEBURG 67 42 68 42 / 0 0 0 0
MURFREESBORO 69 42 68 41 / 0 0 0 0
WAVERLY 71 45 67 43 / 0 0 0 0
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...ROSE
LONG TERM....ROSE
AVIATION.....CLEMENTS
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