783
FXUS64 KOHX 061716
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1216 PM CDT MON APR 6 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1213 PM CDT MON APR 6 2026
- EXPECT FAIR WEATHER THROUGH TOMORROW NIGHT WITH A COUPLE OF MORE
COOL MORNINGS.
- WARMING TEMPERATURES WILL SET IN STARTING ON WEDNESDAY WITH
NEAR-RECORD HIGHS POSSIBLE THIS WEEKEND.
- NO MEANINGFUL RAINFALL CHANCES ARE IN STORE AT LEAST UNTIL EARLY
NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(REST OF TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1022 AM CDT MON APR 6 2026
A SURFACE RIDGE SITUATED TO OUR WEST IS THE DOMINANT WEATHER
FEATURE AFFECTING MIDDLE TENNESSEE THIS MORNING, AND HIGH PRESSURE
IS GOING TO REMAIN THE THEME THROUGHOUT THE 7-DAY FORECAST. WE CAN
LOOK FORWARD TO A COUPLE OF MORE CHILLY NIGHTS BEFORE RETURN FLOW
SETS IN AND KICKS OFF THE NEXT WARMING TREND.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1022 AM CDT MON APR 6 2026
TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO WARM UP STARTING ON WEDNESDAY, AND THEY
WILL KEEP WARMING UP RIGHT THROUGH THE WEEKEND. IN FACT, NEAR-
RECORD WARMTH IS POSSIBLE THIS WEEKEND, WITH THE NBM GIVING US
WIDESPREAD HIGHS IN THE MID 80S ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY, WITH A LOW
CHANCE OF SOME SPOTS EVEN REACHING 90 DEGREES THOSE TWO DAYS. THE
NBM TEMPERATURES REMAIN TIGHTLY CLUSTERED THROUGH MONDAY, SO
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS REASONABLY HIGH. MEANWHILE, THERE IS NO
QPF AT LEAST THROUGH DAY 7. THERE ARE LOW POPS SHOWING UP NEXT
MONDAY, WITH ONLY SLIGHTLY GREATER POPS FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY,
BUT WE DON'T REALLY KNOW WHEN THE NEXT MEANINGFUL RAINFALL EVENT
MIGHT OCCUR IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE. ALTHOUGH WE DID RECEIVE SOME
MUCH-NEEDED RAINFALL OVER THE WEEKEND, THE DRY WEEK AHEAD DOES NOT
BODE WELL FOR THE WORSENING DROUGHT CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1213 PM CDT MON APR 6 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WITH MAINLY NORTHERLY LIGHT WINDS (LESS THAN 10
KTS). OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 15 KTS POSSIBLE THROUGH 23Z. WINDS WILL
SHIFT TO THE NORTHEAST ON TUESDAY WITH A FEW GUSTS TO 20 KTS
DURING THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON HOURS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 44 68 42 75 / 0 0 0 0
CLARKSVILLE 42 65 39 76 / 0 0 0 0
CROSSVILLE 39 63 39 68 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBIA 42 68 41 73 / 0 0 0 0
COOKEVILLE 42 63 42 70 / 0 0 0 0
JAMESTOWN 38 61 37 70 / 0 0 0 0
LAWRENCEBURG 42 68 42 72 / 0 0 0 0
MURFREESBORO 42 68 41 74 / 0 0 0 0
WAVERLY 45 67 43 75 / 0 0 0 0
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...ROSE
LONG TERM....ROSE
AVIATION.....UNGER
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