686
FXUS64 KOHX 101104
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
604 AM CDT FRI APR 10 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 602 AM CDT FRI APR 10 2026
- WARMING TEMPERATURES WITH NEAR-RECORD HIGHS POSSIBLE THIS
WEEKEND, CONTINUED WARM NEXT WEEK.
- ISOLATED RAIN CHANCES TO START NEXT WEEK, POTENTIALLY MORE
MEANINGFUL RAIN TOWARDS THE END OF NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1123 PM CDT THU APR 9 2026
CLEAR TO MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES CURRENTLY ACROSS MIDDLE TENNESSEE THIS
EVENING, A PATTERN THAT LOOKS TO CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND. WE MAY
SEE A FEW MORE HIGHER CLOUDS HERE AND THERE THROUGH SUNDAY, BUT
OVERALL, IT IS EXPECTED TO BE NICE AND CLEAR. LOWS TONIGHT IN THE
MID-STATE WILL BE IN THE MID 40S ON THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU, TO MID
50S BY THE TENNESSEE RIVER. FRIDAY'S HIGHS WILL BE FAIRLY SIMILAR TO
TODAY'S: MID 70S TO LOW 80S. AS FOR SATURDAY TEMPERATURES, THE HEAT
ONLY INCREASES WITH HIGHS GETTING INTO THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. AS
A SYSTEM PASSES TO OUR NORTH ON SATURDAY, SOME LOCATIONS NEAR THE
KENTUCKY BORDER HAVE A VERY LOW (<20%) CHANCE OF SEEING SOME
SHOWERS, BUT NO ONE ELSE CAN EXPECT ANY RAIN THIS WEEKEND.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1123 PM CDT THU APR 9 2026
AS THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN US AMPLIFIES, A
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS ON TRACK TO MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHERN GREAT
PLAINS REGION OF THE US AND CANADA. THIS WILL SQUEEZE THE RIDGE, AND
CREATE SOME BREEZY CONDITIONS OVER MIDDLE TENNESSEE DUE TO PRESSURE
GRADIENT FORCE. AS WE HEAD INTO THE START OF THE WORK WEEK, RAIN
CHANCES WILL SLOWLY INCREASE: FROM ISOLATED AT THE START OF THE WEEK
TO MORE WIDESPREAD AS WE SLIDE INTO NEXT WEEKEND. THIS WILL
CERTAINLY HELP DROUGHT CONDITIONS (WE HOPE). I SAY HOPE, BECAUSE
RIGHT NOW, GUIDANCE DOESN'T SHOW A WHOLE LOT OF RAIN. AREAS AROUND
CLARKSVILLE HAVE THE HIGHEST CHANCE OF SEEING SOME TO START THE WORK
WEEK, SITTING AT 40% CHANCE OF A TENTH OF AN INCH RIGHT NOW. WE'LL
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THESE TRENDS AS WE GET INTO SOME OF THE MORE
HIGH-RESOLUTION GUIDANCE.
AS FOR TEMPERATURES, THE APRIL SHOWERS HAVEN'T EVEN BROUGHT MAY
FLOWERS YET, AND SUMMER IS ALREADY TRYING TO MAKE ITSELF AT HOME!
TEMPERATURES LOOK TO CONTINUE TO RISE INTO WIDESPREAD MID-80S BY MID-
WEEK.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 602 AM CDT FRI APR 10 2026
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR THIS TAF CYCLE. WINDS WILL BECOME
SOUTHWESTERLY AROUND 10 KTS. OCCASIONAL GUSTS OF 15-17 KTS
POSSIBLE DURING THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS AT CKV.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 80 56 83 58 / 0 10 10 0
CLARKSVILLE 81 58 83 58 / 0 10 10 0
CROSSVILLE 75 51 78 54 / 0 10 10 0
COLUMBIA 80 54 83 56 / 0 0 10 0
COOKEVILLE 75 53 78 56 / 0 10 10 0
JAMESTOWN 75 51 78 55 / 0 10 20 0
LAWRENCEBURG 78 53 82 56 / 0 0 0 0
MURFREESBORO 80 52 83 56 / 0 0 10 0
WAVERLY 81 57 84 59 / 0 10 10 0
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...HOLLEY
LONG TERM....HOLLEY
AVIATION.....UNGER
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