197
FXUS64 KOHX 110351
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1051 PM CDT FRI APR 10 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1051 PM CDT FRI APR 10 2026
- ELEVATED FIRE CONDITIONS EXPECTED SUNDAY, WITH A COMBINATION OF
WIND GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY IN THE 30 - 35%
RANGE.
- WARMING TEMPERATURES WITH NEAR-RECORD HIGHS THIS WEEKEND,
CONTINUED WARM NEXT WEEK.
- LOW RAIN CHANCES TO START NEXT WEEK, BUT ANY RAIN AMOUNTS ARE
EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1051 PM CDT FRI APR 10 2026
CLOUDS ARE CREEPING INTO THE NORTHWESTERN PORTION OF OUR AREA ON
SATELLITE THIS EVENING. AS FOR THE WEEKEND, AN ALREADY ERECTED RIDGE
OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES WILL CONTINUE
TO INFLUENCE OUR TEMPERATURES. EXPECT HIGH TEMPERATURES TO INCREASE
INTO THE MID 80S BY SUNDAY AS THE RIDGE AMPLIFIES. AS A SYSTEM
PASSES TO OUR NORTH ON SATURDAY, SOME LOCATIONS NEAR THE KENTUCKY
BORDER HAVE A VERY LOW (<20%) CHANCE OF SEEING SOME SHOWERS, BUT NO
ONE ELSE CAN EXPECT ANY RAIN THIS WEEKEND. IT WILL BE BREEZY ON
SUNDAY THOUGH, AS WE ARE EXPECTING SOME ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS THAT DAY BECAUSE OF THE COMBINATION OF WINDS AND LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY. PLEASE AVOID OUTDOOR BURNING ON SUNDAY IF
POSSIBLE.
LONG TERM
(MONDAY THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1051 PM CDT FRI APR 10 2026
AS WE HEAD INTO THE START OF THE WORK WEEK, RAIN CHANCES WILL SLOWLY
INCREASE: FROM ISOLATED AT THE START OF THE WEEK TO MORE WIDESPREAD
AS WE SLIDE INTO NEXT WEEKEND. THIS WILL CERTAINLY HELP DROUGHT
CONDITIONS, ESPECIALLY LATER INTO THE WORK WEEK. AREAS AROUND
CLARKSVILLE HAVE THE HIGHEST CHANCE OF SEEING SOME RAIN ON MONDAY,
SITTING AT 30 - 40% CHANCE OF A TENTH OF AN INCH RIGHT NOW. RAIN
CHANCES AND FORECASTED QPF HAS GONE UP IN THE PAST 24 HOURS WITH THE
MID-WEEK SYSTEM. NOT QUITE DROUGHT-BUSTING MATERIAL, BUT SOME DECENT
PROBABILITIES ARE PRESENTING THEMSELVES IN THE GUIDANCE. WE'LL
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THESE TRENDS AS WE GET INTO SOME OF THE MORE
HIGH-RESOLUTION GUIDANCE.
TEMPERATURES LOOK TO CONTINUE TO RISE INTO WIDESPREAD MID-80S BY MID-
WEEK, WITH UPPER 80S TO 90 DEGREES BY LATE NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 557 PM CDT FRI APR 10 2026
VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD WITH MID TO HIGH LEVEL
CLOUDS. LIGHT SOUTHERLY WINDS UNDER 6 KNOTS SHIFTING NORTHERLY
TOMORROW LATE MORNING.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 81 56 83 58 / 0 10 20 10
CLARKSVILLE 81 57 82 58 / 0 10 20 10
CROSSVILLE 75 51 77 54 / 0 0 20 0
COLUMBIA 80 53 84 56 / 0 0 10 0
COOKEVILLE 75 52 78 57 / 0 0 20 0
JAMESTOWN 75 51 77 55 / 0 0 20 0
LAWRENCEBURG 78 53 82 56 / 0 0 10 0
MURFREESBORO 80 52 83 56 / 0 0 10 0
WAVERLY 81 58 82 60 / 0 10 20 10
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...HOLLEY
LONG TERM....HOLLEY
AVIATION.....MUELLER
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