340
FXUS64 KOHX 072308
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
608 PM CDT THU MAY 7 2026
..NEW UPDATE, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 600 PM CDT THU MAY 7 2026
- DRY AND COOL TONIGHT. PATCHY FOG IN VALLEYS. A FEW PATCHES OF
FROST POSSIBLE FOR THE UPPER CUMBERLAND.
- WARMING TREND FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO NEAR 80.
- NEXT CHANCE FOR WIDESPREAD MEASURABLE RAINFALL IS SUNDAY
AFTERNOON INTO EARLY MONDAY.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 600 PM CDT THU MAY 7 2026
ALL IS CALM THIS EVENING WITH NO MAJOR CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.
NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS REMAIN OCCASIONALLY GUSTY, BUT
THESE WILL BE TAPERING OFF AS WE GET CLOSE TO SUNSET. AS DISCUSSED
BELOW, MAIN CONCERNS OVERNIGHT WILL BE PATCHY FOG OVERNIGHT ALONG
RIVER VALLEYS AND A FEW AREAS OF FROST ALONG THE CUMBERLAND
PLATEAU. A BEAUTIFUL FRIDAY IS IN STORE WITH TEMPERATURES WARMING
INTO THE 70S WITH PLENTY OF SUNSHINE.
SHORT TERM
(REST OF TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1120 AM CDT THU MAY 7 2026
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE INTO THE MID STATE WITH
CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS TONIGHT. THIS WILL ALLOW TEMPS TO COOL
OFF WELL BELOW NORMAL. MOST AREAS WILL HAVE LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
SOME SHELTERED SPOTS WILL DIP INTO THE UPPER 30S WITH PATCHY
LIGHT FROST, MAINLY ACROSS THE UPPER CUMBERLAND. FROST DOES NOT
SEEM LIKELY ENOUGH TO ISSUE A FROST ADVISORY. SOME AREAS MAY HAVE
PATCHY FOG LATE TONIGHT, ESPECIALLY ALONG RIVER VALLEYS.
THE CENTER OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLIDE EAST FRIDAY ALLOWING SOUTH
WINDS TO DEVELOP. THIS WILL BE THE START OF A WARMING TREND WITH
HIGHS REACHING THE LOW TO MID 70S.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1120 AM CDT THU MAY 7 2026
FOR THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK, A BROAD UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
WILL BE OVER THE EASTERN STATES WITH A RIDGE OUT WEST. WITHIN THE
BROAD NORTHWEST FLOW, A SERIES OF WEAK DISTURBANCES WILL CROSS
THE REGION. THESE WAVES WILL NOT HAVE MUCH MOISTURE TO WORK WITH,
SO WE WILL HAVE VERY LOW POPS FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. ANY
AREAS THAT RECEIVE RAINDROPS WILL NOT GET MUCH. MOST PLACES WILL
STAY DRY THROUGH SATURDAY WITH TEMPS WARMING INTO THE UPPER 70S TO
NEAR 80.
BETTER, AREA-WIDE RAIN CHANCES WILL COME IN SUNDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT WITH THE APPROACH OF A COLD FRONT. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND A FEW STORMS WILL FORM. LOCATIONS THAT GET UNDER A
STORM WILL HAVE A BRIEF SOAKING RAINFALL, BUT GENERALLY IT WILL
BE A LOW-END EVENT WITH LESS THAN ONE QUARTER INCH FOR MOST
LOCATIONS. CONDITIONS DO NOT APPEAR TO SUPPORT SEVERE STORMS.
THE COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOLLOWED BY
ANOTHER SHOT OF DRY, SLIGHTLY COOLER THAN NORMAL AIR. GOING
THROUGH THE WEEK, THEN RIDGE FROM OUT WEST WILL GRADUALLY PUSH
EASTWARD BRINGING A SLOW WARMING TREND. PERIODIC DISTURBANCES WILL
CROSS THE AREA WITH ON AND OFF CHANCES FOR SHOWERS LATER IN THE
WEEK, BUT NO MAJOR SOAKING RAINFALL IS IN THE FORECAST.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 600 PM CDT THU MAY 7 2026
VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. LIGHT AND VARIABLE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. WINDS WILL TURN SOUTHERLY TO
SOUTHWESTERLY BY MID-MORNING WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS AROUND 15
KNOTS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 45 75 54 80 / 0 0 0 10
CLARKSVILLE 42 75 53 79 / 0 0 30 0
CROSSVILLE 39 69 49 73 / 0 0 10 10
COLUMBIA 42 74 52 80 / 0 0 10 10
COOKEVILLE 41 70 50 75 / 0 0 10 10
JAMESTOWN 38 71 49 75 / 0 0 10 10
LAWRENCEBURG 42 73 52 78 / 0 0 10 20
MURFREESBORO 42 75 52 80 / 0 0 10 10
WAVERLY 43 75 54 80 / 0 0 10 0
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
UPDATE.......CLEMENTS
SHORT TERM...13
LONG TERM....13
AVIATION.....CLEMENTS
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