924
FXUS64 KOHX 080333
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1033 PM CDT THU MAY 7 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1029 PM CDT THU MAY 7 2026
- PATCHY VALLEY FOG ALONG WITH FROST ALONG THE PLATEAU IS POSSIBLE
THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.
- TEMPERATURES WARM TO NEAR 80 THROUGH THE WEEKEND. LIGHT RAIN
RETURNS SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO EARLY MONDAY WITH NO HAZARDOUS
WEATHER EXPECTED.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1029 PM CDT THU MAY 7 2026
TEMPERATURES WILL BE CHILLY TONIGHT WITH LOWS DROPPING INTO THE
UPPER-30S FOR THE PLATEAU AND INTO THE 40S ELSEWHERE. THIS MAY LEAD
TO PATCHY FROST ALONG THE PLATEAU. RHS TONIGHT MAY ALSO LEAD TO
PATCHY FOG, PARTICULARLY ALONG RIVER VALLEYS. CONFIDENCE ISN'T
HIGH IN HOW WIDESPREAD OR DENSE FOG MAY BE GIVEN CLOUD COVER THAT
IS MOVING INTO THE AREA. A BEAUTIFUL DAY IS THEN IN STORE FOR
FRIDAY. PLENTY OF SUNSHINE AND SURFACE WINDS TURNING SOUTHERLY
AGAIN WILL ALLOW FOR A NICE WARMUP WITH TEMPERATURES REACHING INTO
THE 70S. THERE IS A WEAK DISTURBANCE THAT CLIPS THE AREA FRIDAY
NIGHT, GIVING LOW RAIN CHANCES INTO SATURDAY MORNING. WITH DRIER
AIR IN PLACE, ANY RAIN THAT DOES FALL IS EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT WITH
THE PROBABILITY OF EVEN GETTING A TENTH OF AN INCH LOW AT 10%.
MOST OF THE AREA STAYS DRY THROUGH SATURDAY WITH THE WARMING TREND
CONTINUING AS HIGHS REACH INTO THE MID-70S TO LOW-80S.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1029 PM CDT THU MAY 7 2026
BY SUNDAY, A LONGWAVE TROUGH SETS UP OVER THE EASTERN CONUS, AND A
COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST. THIS GIVES MEDIUM TO HIGH
RAIN CHANCES SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO EARLY MONDAY. MOISTURE VALUES
WILL BE ON THE RISE, BUT PWATS AREN'T THAT IMPRESSIVE WITH MODELS
SHOWING AROUND AN INCH OR A LITTLE OVER WHICH IS NEAR NORMAL FOR THE
TIME OF THE YEAR. AS SUCH, FORECAST RAIN AMOUNTS ALSO AREN'T THAT
IMPRESSIVE AT GENERALLY LESS THAN 0.25 INCHES, AND THE PROBABILITY
OF EXCEEDING THIS AT ONLY 30-40%. SOME GOOD NEWS THOUGH IS
CONDITIONS DON'T LOOK FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE WEATHER.
THE COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH THE AREA BY MONDAY MORNING, AND DRIER,
COOLER AIR MOVES IN BEHIND IT. HIGH TEMPERATURES ON MONDAY FALL BACK
INTO THE UPPER-60S TO LOW-70S, BUT WILL GRADUALLY WARM BACK UP TO
NEAR 80 THEREAFTER. ANOTHER DISTURBANCE CLIPS THE AREA LATE TUESDAY
INTO WEDNESDAY, GIVING A LOW CHANCE FOR ANOTHER ROUND OF RAIN, BUT
STILL, NOTHING HAZARDOUS LOOKS TO BE UPCOMING.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 600 PM CDT THU MAY 7 2026
VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. LIGHT AND VARIABLE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. WINDS WILL TURN SOUTHERLY TO
SOUTHWESTERLY BY MID-MORNING WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS AROUND 15
KNOTS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 45 75 54 80 / 0 0 0 10
CLARKSVILLE 42 75 54 80 / 0 0 30 0
CROSSVILLE 39 69 48 73 / 0 0 0 10
COLUMBIA 42 75 52 81 / 0 0 10 10
COOKEVILLE 41 70 50 75 / 0 0 10 10
JAMESTOWN 38 71 49 75 / 0 0 10 10
LAWRENCEBURG 42 73 52 79 / 0 0 10 10
MURFREESBORO 42 75 52 80 / 0 0 0 10
WAVERLY 43 75 54 80 / 0 0 10 0
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...CLEMENTS
LONG TERM....CLEMENTS
AVIATION.....CLEMENTS
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