850
FXUS64 KOHX 091123
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
623 AM CDT SAT MAY 9 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 623 AM CDT SAT MAY 9 2026
- TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE MID-70S TO LOW-80S THIS WEEKEND.
- MEDIUM TO HIGH RAIN CHANCES RETURN SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO EARLY
MONDAY. RAIN IS EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT WITH NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER
THROUGH THE NEXT 7 DAYS.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1025 PM CDT FRI MAY 8 2026
A SHORTWAVE IS APPROACHING THE OHIO VALLEY LATE THIS EVENING AND
WILL CLIP MIDDLE TN INTO SATURDAY MORNING. THIS BRINGS A VERY LOW
CHANCE FOR ISOLATED SHOWERS OR SPRINKLES. BUT DRIER AIR CONTINUES TO
BE IN PLACE SO ANY SHOWERS THAT DO MANAGE TO DEVELOP ARE EXPECTED TO
BE LIGHT WITH FORECAST TOTALS ONLY A COUPLE HUNDREDTHS. MOST WILL
STAY DRY THROUGH SATURDAY IN WHAT WILL BE A BEAUTIFUL START TO THE
WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THEIR WARMING TREND WITH HIGHS
IN THE MID-70S TO LOW-80S.
BY SUNDAY, A LARGE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH ALONG WITH A COLD FRONT SETS
UP OVER THE GREAT LAKES AND OHIO VALLEY. THIS SYSTEM ALLOWS FOR
MEDIUM TO HIGH RAIN AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES TO ENTER THE FORECAST
SUNDAY AFTERNOON. MOISTURE VALUES STILL DON'T LOOK GREAT HOVERING
AROUND SEASONABLE NORMALS SO FORECAST RAIN AMOUNTS ALSO AREN'T
GREAT. MOST AREAS LOOK TO PICK UP NO MORE THAN A QUARTER OF AN INCH
WITH LOW PROBABILITIES OF 10-20% OF GETTING MORE THAN THIS. AS FAR
AS SEVERE WEATHER GOES, STILL THINK THAT PARAMETERS AREN'T FAVORABLE
WITH THE BETTER INSTABILITY AND SHEAR REMAINING TO THE SOUTH.
LONG TERM
(MONDAY THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1025 PM CDT FRI MAY 8 2026
THE COLD FRONT WILL EXIT THE AREA MONDAY MORNING, ALLOWING FOR DRIER
AND COOLER AIR TO MOVE IN BEHIND IT. HIGHS ON MONDAY WILL BE IN THE
MID-60S ALONG THE PLATEAU AND INTO THE LOW-70S ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER
SYSTEM DOES MOVE THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY LATE TUESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY, BUT IT DOESN'T LOOK TO MEAN MUCH FOR US WITH JUST ANOTHER
LOW RAIN CHANCE WITH LIGHT RAIN AMOUNTS. IT DOES HELP TO KEEP
TEMPERATURES A LITTLE BELOW NORMAL FOR MID-MAY, BUT TEMPERATURES
WILL MAKE THEIR WAY BACK INTO THE LOW AND MID-80S BY THE END OF THE
WEEK.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 623 AM CDT SAT MAY 9 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE TAF PERIOD. WINDS WILL
INCREASE TO 5-10 KTS OUT OF THE WEST AFTER 14Z. WINDS WILL THEN
DECREASE TO LIGHT AND VARIABLE AFTER 0Z AND STAY THAT WAY THROUGH
THE REMAINDER OF THE TAF PERIOD.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 80 55 84 55 / 10 0 20 60
CLARKSVILLE 80 55 82 53 / 0 0 30 40
CROSSVILLE 73 51 78 52 / 10 0 0 60
COLUMBIA 80 54 84 55 / 10 0 20 60
COOKEVILLE 75 53 80 54 / 10 0 10 60
JAMESTOWN 74 50 80 51 / 0 0 10 70
LAWRENCEBURG 79 55 82 56 / 10 0 10 50
MURFREESBORO 80 54 84 55 / 10 0 10 60
WAVERLY 80 56 82 54 / 0 0 30 40
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...CLEMENTS
LONG TERM....CLEMENTS
AVIATION.....HOLLEY
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