436
FXUS64 KOHX 092313
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
613 PM CDT SAT MAY 9 2026
..NEW UPDATE, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 605 PM CDT SAT MAY 9 2026
- TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE MID-70S TO LOW-80S THIS WEEKEND.
- MEDIUM RAIN CHANCES SUNDAY NIGHT. RAIN IS EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT
WITH NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER THROUGH THE NEXT 7 DAYS.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 605 PM CDT SAT MAY 9 2026
YET ANOTHER CALM EVENING AND NIGHT IS AHEAD FOR MIDDLE TN. ONLY
POTENTIAL CONCERN FOR TONIGHT IS PATCHY FOG, MAINLY FOR THE SOUTH
AND AREAS ALONG THE PLATEAU. MOST OF MOTHER'S DAY LOOKS TO BE
NICE AS WELL. THE NEXT CHANCE OF RAIN IS STILL ON TRACK FOR LATE
TOMORROW AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING HOURS. NO CHANGES TO PREVIOUS
THINKING ON THIS AND WHAT'S WRITTEN BELOW. RAIN LOOKS TO BE LIGHT
WITH NO SEVERE WEATHER EXPECTED. THE RISK FOR LIGHTNING ALSO
LOOKS TO BE LOW.
SHORT TERM
(REST OF TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1135 AM CDT SAT MAY 9 2026
A NICE SPRING WEEKEND CONTINUED FOR MIDDLE TENNESSEE. SATURDAY
TEMPERATURES WERE RUNNING AROUND 5 DEGREES WARMER THAN FRIDAY. A
COUPLE OF SHORTWAVES WERE CROSSING THE REGION, BUT RAINFALL WITH
THESE SYSTEMS WAS PASSING WELL NORTH AND SOUTH OF OUR AREA WITH
ONLY PATCHY CLOUDS IMPACTING THE MID STATE.
DRY WX WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT AND MOST OF SUNDAY AS WELL.
LOWS TONIGHT WILL BE IN THE SEASONABLE 50S WITH HIGHS WARMING A
FEW DEGREES MORE FOR SUNDAY, REACHING MOSTLY LOWER 80S. THIS WILL
HAPPEN AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT WHICH COULD BRING A FEW SHOWERS OR
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS STARTING LATE AFTERNOON OVER THE NORTHWEST
HALF OF THE AREA.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1135 AM CDT SAT MAY 9 2026
AN UPPER TROUGH ACCOMPANIED BY A COLD FRONT WILL BE MOVING THROUGH
THE MID STATE SUNDAY NIGHT WITH A MEDIUM CHANCE FOR MOSTLY POST-
FRONTAL SHOWERS AND PERHAPS A RUMBLE OF THUNDER. ATMOSPHERIC
MOISTURE AND OTHER PARAMETERS LOOK UNIMPRESSIVE, SO WE ARE NOT
EXPECTING MUCH RAIN. MOST AREAS ARE SHOWING LESS THAN ONE QUARTER
INCH. A FEW STORMS COULD BE IN THE MIX, BUT WE DO NOT EXPECT ANY
SEVERE STORMS.
THE COLD FRONT WILL EXIT THE AREA MONDAY MORNING, ALLOWING FOR DRIER
AND COOLER AIR TO MOVE IN BEHIND IT. HIGHS ON MONDAY WILL BE IN THE
MID-60S ALONG THE PLATEAU AND INTO THE LOW-70S ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER
SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY LATE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY,
BUT IT BRINGS US JUST LOW CHANCES FOR LIGHT RAIN FOLLOWED BY
ANOTHER SLIGHT DIP IN TEMPERATURES. LOOKING AHEAD TO LATE WEEK,
THE EASTERN U.S. TROUGH WILL BEGIN TO LIFT OUT AS RIDGING FROM OUT
WEST EXPANDS EASTWARD. THIS WILL SET US UP FOR WARMER THAN NORMAL
TEMPERATURES BY NEXT WEEKEND WITH HIGHS REACHING THE LOW TO MID
80S. SOME PASSING WAVES COULD BRING LOW-END RAIN CHANCES, BUT NO
SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL OR SEVERE WX IS EXPECTED.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 605 PM CDT SAT MAY 9 2026
WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE
FOR FOG, MAINLY AT CSV AND SRB OVERNIGHT. CONFIDENCE IS LOW, BUT
INCLUDED THIS POSSIBILITY WITH A TEMPO GROUP. WINDS WILL BE
WESTERLY AGAIN THROUGH MOST OF SUNDAY AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. LIGHT
SHOWERS LOOK TO MOVE INTO THE AREA AFTER 00Z SO ONLY INCLUDED A
MENTION OF THIS IN BNA'S 30-HOUR TAF, BUT THIS WILL BE INCLUDED AT
THE OTHER SITES IN THE NEXT TAF PERIOD. THE RISK FOR LIGHTNING
TOMORROW EVENING IS LOW.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 55 84 56 73 / 0 20 50 0
CLARKSVILLE 55 82 54 73 / 0 10 50 0
CROSSVILLE 51 79 52 67 / 0 0 50 10
COLUMBIA 54 85 56 73 / 0 10 50 0
COOKEVILLE 53 80 54 68 / 0 0 60 10
JAMESTOWN 50 80 51 68 / 0 0 50 10
LAWRENCEBURG 55 83 57 72 / 0 0 50 10
MURFREESBORO 54 85 56 73 / 0 10 50 0
WAVERLY 55 83 55 73 / 0 30 50 0
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
UPDATE.......CLEMENTS
SHORT TERM...13
LONG TERM....13
AVIATION.....CLEMENTS
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