695
FXUS64 KOHX 101610
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1110 AM CDT SUN MAY 10 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1110 AM CDT SUN MAY 10 2026
- MEDIUM CHANCES FOR LIGHT SHOWERS TONIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY. VERY
LOW THUNDER CHANCES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS LESS THAN ONE TENTH OF AN
INCH FOR MOST LOCATIONS.
- HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S MOST OF THE WEEK, BUT LOWER 90S
POSSIBLE FOR THE WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
(REST OF TODAY THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1110 AM CDT SUN MAY 10 2026
AFTER A FOGGY START FOR SOME AREAS NEAR THE ALABAMA BORDER AND
ALONG THE PLATEAU, A VERY NICE MOTHER'S DAY HAD DEVELOPED ACROSS
MIDDLE TENNESSEE WITH SUNSHINE AND HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
WE WILL SEE INCREASING CLOUDS LATE AFTERNOON THROUGH EVENING AS A
COLD FRONT MOVES IN FROM THE NORTHWEST. THIS WEAK FRONT WILL
BRING A MEDIUM CHANCE FOR RAIN TONIGHT, MOSTLY POST-FRONTAL VERY
LIGHT SHOWERS. A RUMBLE OF THUNDER CANNOT BE RULED OUT, BUT FOR
THE MOST PART, LIGHT SHOWERS WILL PRODUCE MEAGER RAINFALL LESS
THAN ONE TENTH OF AN INCH.
A FEW DRIPS WILL LAST INTO EARLY MONDAY MORNING, BUT DRY AIR WILL
TAKE OVER AGAIN QUICKLY. EVEN AS SUNSHINE RE-EMERGES, HIGHS
MONDAY WILL BE 5 TO 10 DEGREES COOLER THAN TODAY, IN THE 70S. THAT
IS NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.
LONG TERM
(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1110 AM CDT SUN MAY 10 2026
THROUGH THE COMING WEEK, THERE WILL BE A COUPLE OF LOW-END
CHANCES FOR RAIN, BUT NOTHING MUCH. THIS IS BAD NEWS FOR DROUGHT
CONDITIONS WHICH ARE LIKELY TO WORSEN. THE BRIGHT SIDE IS AN
EXTREMELY LOW POTENTIAL FOR ANY HAZARDOUS WEATHER.
OTHERWISE, TEMPERATURES WILL BOUNCE AROUND A LITTLE THROUGH THE
WEEK, GENERALLY IN THE PLEASANT/NORMAL 70S AND LOWER 80S. BUT,
THE PLEASANTRIES MAY SLIP AWAY AS EXTENDED MODELS SHOW THE BROAD
TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN STATES MOVING OUT AS STRONG RIDGING MOVES
OUR WAY. THIS MAY SET US UP FOR OUR FIRST 90+ DEGREE DAYS OF 2026
BY THE WEEKEND. ALONG WITH THE WARMTH, WE COULD SEE THE START OF A
DIURNAL SHOWER/STORM PATTERN WITH 10-30 PERCENT COVERAGE EACH
AFTERNOON.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 616 AM CDT SUN MAY 10 2026
WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT. FG CONTINUES TO BE A
PROBLEM AT CSV AND SRB THIS MORNING, WITH FREQUENT REDUCTIONS TO
1/2SM OR LOWER. WINDS WILL BE WESTERLY AGAIN THROUGH MOST OF
SUNDAY AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. LIGHT SHOWERS LOOK TO MOVE INTO THE
AREA AFTER 00Z, WITH A LOW CHANCE OF TS THROUGH THE PERIOD.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 84 57 75 50 / 0 60 10 0
CLARKSVILLE 82 55 75 48 / 10 40 0 0
CROSSVILLE 79 53 69 45 / 0 40 50 0
COLUMBIA 84 56 75 48 / 0 50 20 0
COOKEVILLE 80 55 70 46 / 10 60 40 0
JAMESTOWN 80 52 70 44 / 10 60 40 0
LAWRENCEBURG 83 57 73 47 / 0 40 30 0
MURFREESBORO 85 56 74 47 / 0 50 30 0
WAVERLY 84 56 75 49 / 10 50 10 0
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...13
LONG TERM....13
AVIATION.....HOLLEY
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