306
FXUS64 KOHX 151109
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
609 AM CDT MON JUN 15 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 607 AM CDT MON JUN 15 2026
- WE CAN LOOK FORWARD TO MUCH DRIER AND ALSO MUCH COOLER WEATHER
FOR THE NEXT 2-3 DAYS.
- A MORE HUMID AND ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN WILL RETURN LATER IN
THE WEEK.
- MIDDLE TENNESSEE IS CURRENTLY NOT INCLUDED IN ANY SEVERE WEATHER
RISK AREAS, BUT WE CAN EXPECT STRONG STORMS WITH OUR NEXT ACTIVE
WEATHER SYSTEM ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1102 PM CDT SUN JUN 14 2026
A COLD FRONT HAS MADE ITS WAY THROUGH MIDDLE TN THIS EVENING, AND
NOW THE MORE COMFORTABLE WEATHER CAN SET IN. TONIGHT, EXPECT LOW
TEMPERATURES TO GET INTO THE UPPER 50S AND LOW 60S.
WE COULD SEE SOME PATCHY FOG MONDAY MORNING, SO BE MINDFUL WHEN
PLANNING YOUR COMMUTE. LEAVE PLENTY OF EXTRA TIME TO GET WHERE
YOU'RE GOING AND USE YOUR LOW BEAM HEADLIGHTS IF YOU RUN INTO ANY
FOG. OTHERWISE, MONDAY LOOKS TO BE QUIETER, WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TO
UPPER 70S. SOME AREAS COULD SEE 80 OR 81 TOMORROW, BUT OVERALL IT'LL
BE MUCH COOLER THANKS TO THAT LIGHT NORTHERLY WIND.
TUESDAY LOOKS LIKE ANOTHER GREAT DAY, WITH SOME WARMER TEMPERATURES.
WINDS WILL TURN FROM NORTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY, WHICH WILL ADVECT
SOME WARMER TEMPERATURES INTO THE AREA THROUGH MID-WEEK. ANOTHER
ROUND OF FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE, WITH A LOW (20% OR LESS) CHANCE FOR
SOME SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING/OVERNIGHT HOURS.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1102 PM CDT SUN JUN 14 2026
THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW WILL BECOME CONDUCIVE TO SHORTWAVES PASSING
THROUGH, SO WEDNESDAY ONWARD WILL HAVE MORE RAIN CHANCES AND
POSSIBLY MORE STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS. WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY
MORNING, CHANCES FOR RAIN WILL INCREASE FROM A FRONT APPROACHING OUR
AREA THAT WILL PASS THROUGH FRIDAY. RAIN CHANCES WILL PEAK THURSDAY
NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING, AND SLOWLY TAPER FROM THERE. GUIDANCE IS
SHOWING THAT THE CHANCES FOR SEVERE WEATHER WITH THIS FRONT ARE LOW,
BUT WE WILL CONTINUE TO ASSESS AS THE SHORTER RANGE MODELS GET A
HOLD OF IT. TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO WARM INTO THE UPPER 80S TO
LOW 90S BY THURSDAY, AND THEN THE NEXT COLD FRONT SWINGS THROUGH
DROPPING THINGS BACK DOWN TO THE UPPER 70S AND LOW 80S.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 607 AM CDT MON JUN 15 2026
PATCHY FOG IS BEING REPORTED AT SRB THIS MORNING, BUT THIS WILL
IMPROVE OVER THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS. OTHERWISE, LOOK FOR VFR
CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD WITH LIGHT
NORTHWESTERLY WINDS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 80 60 85 65 / 0 0 0 10
CLARKSVILLE 78 57 83 63 / 0 0 0 20
CROSSVILLE 75 54 77 58 / 0 0 0 10
COLUMBIA 80 58 84 64 / 0 0 0 10
COOKEVILLE 76 55 79 61 / 0 0 10 10
JAMESTOWN 75 53 79 59 / 0 0 10 10
LAWRENCEBURG 79 59 82 63 / 0 0 10 10
MURFREESBORO 81 59 84 63 / 0 0 10 10
WAVERLY 79 58 83 63 / 0 0 0 20
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...HOLLEY
LONG TERM....HOLLEY
AVIATION.....CLEMENTS
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