038
FXUS64 KOHX 190331
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1031 PM CDT THU JUN 18 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1030 PM CDT THU JUN 18 2026
- DRY FRIDAY AND SATURDAY WITH HIGH CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS RETURNING SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
- SEASONABLY WARM AND HUMID WEATHER WITH ON AND OFF CHANCES FOR
SHOWERS AND STORMS NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1030 PM CDT THU JUN 18 2026
LINGERING LATE NIGHT SHOWERS AND PATCHES OF FOG WILL BE PUSHED
OUT EARLY FRIDAY MORNING AS A FRONTAL ZONE SLIDES SOUTH OF THE MID
STATE. DAYTIME FRIDAY WILL BE MAINLY SUNNY AND LESS HUMID AS A
LIGHT NORTH BREEZE BRINGS DRIER AND SLIGHTLY COOLER AIR.
DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEKEND WITH
A VERY PLEASANT FRIDAY NIGHT AND A MAINLY SUNNY, WARM SATURDAY.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1030 PM CDT THU JUN 18 2026
A SHORTWAVE WILL DEVELOP OVER THE PLAINS LATE SATURDAY, EVENTUALLY
PUSHING THROUGH MIDDLE TN SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. THIS WILL BRING THE
RETURN OF HIGH HUMIDITY WITH HIGH RAIN AND STORM CHANCES,
ESPECIALLY SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. A FEW STRONG STORMS WITH
GUSTY WINDS MAY OCCUR, BUT NO WIDESPREAD OR ORGANIZED SEVERE
STORMS ARE EXPECTED.
BEYOND THIS SYSTEM, THE UPPER AIR PATTERN THROUGH NEXT WEEK FAVORS
CONTINUED ON AND OFF RAIN/STORM CHANCES AS A BROAD TROUGH OVER THE
EASTERN STATES BRINGS A SERIES OF WEAK DISTURBANCES. SHOWERS AND
STORMS WILL BE MAINLY DIURNAL WITH A SEASONABLY WARM AND HUMID
PATTERN. LOWS WILL BE MOSTLY IN THE 60S AND HIGHS MAINLY IN THE
80S.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 609 PM CDT THU JUN 18 2026
BANDS OF SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS OVER MID TN AT 00Z WILL
GRADUALLY WEAKEN AND DECREASE IN COVERAGE WHILE PUSHING SOUTHEAST
THIS EVENING. THESE WILL BE FOLLOWED BY A LATE NIGHT FRONTAL
PASSAGE. CONDITIONS WILL VARY AS THESE FEATURES CROSS THE AREA
WITH MAINLY MVFR CIGS/VSBYS THROUGH THE NIGHT. WINDS WILL BECOME
NNW WITH FROPA WHILE STAYING GENERALLY LIGHT. DAYTIME FRIDAY AFTER
15Z WILL BRING VFR WITH A NORTH BREEZE 6-10KT AS DRY HIGH
PRESSURE TAKES OVER.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 68 84 64 87 / 60 0 0 0
CLARKSVILLE 64 83 62 86 / 20 0 0 0
CROSSVILLE 65 79 57 82 / 70 0 0 0
COLUMBIA 68 85 62 87 / 30 0 0 10
COOKEVILLE 66 81 60 83 / 70 0 0 0
JAMESTOWN 64 79 57 83 / 90 0 0 0
LAWRENCEBURG 68 84 62 85 / 30 0 0 10
MURFREESBORO 68 85 62 88 / 40 0 0 0
WAVERLY 65 84 63 86 / 40 0 0 0
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...13
LONG TERM....13
AVIATION.....13
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page