537  
FXUS64 KOHX 220504  
AFDOHX  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN  
1204 AM CDT SAT AUG 22 2026  
   
..NEW AVIATION
 
 
   
KEY MESSAGES
 
 
UPDATED AT 1201 AM CDT SAT AUG 22 2026  
 
- LOW THUNDERSTORM CHANCES SATURDAY, PRIMARILY ACROSS THE PLATEAU  
AND SOUTHERN MIDDLE TN.  
 
- OVERALL DRIER WITH SLIGHTLY BELOW-NORMAL TEMPERATURES THIS  
WEEKEND WITH PATCHY FOG SATURDAY AND SUNDAY MORNINGS.  
 
- LOW TO MEDIUM RAIN AND STORM CHANCES NEXT WEEK WITH SEASONAL  
TEMPERATURES.  
 

 
   
SHORT TERM
 
 
(TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)  
ISSUED AT 1020 PM CDT FRI AUG 21 2026  
 
QUIET CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL TONIGHT WITH THE ONLY  
CONCERN BEING FOG. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS WILL BE  
SUPPORTIVE FOR FOG OVERNIGHT. HIGHEST CONFIDENCE IN FOG IS ACROSS  
THE PLATEAU, AND SHORT-TERM MODELS SUPPORT THIS AS WELL WITH ONLY  
LOW PROBABILITY OF 10-20% FOR FOG WEST OF THE PLATEAU. UPPER-LEVEL  
TROUGHING REMAINS IN PLACE OVER THE EASTERN CONUS SATURDAY, AND A  
WEAK FRONT WILL ALLOW FOR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP DURING  
THE AFTERNOON, MAINLY FOR AREAS NEAR THE TN/AL BORDER AND ACROSS  
THE PLATEAU. OTHERWISE, IT'LL BE A FAIRLY NICE SATURDAY WITH MOST  
OF THE AREA STAYING DRY AND SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES IN THE  
UPPER-80S TO LOW-90S. UPPER-LEVEL TROUGHING CONTINUES INTO SUNDAY  
AND BEHIND THE FRONT, SUNDAY PROMISES TO BE A VERY NICE DAY WITH  
DRY CONDITIONS AND SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES IN THE MID TO  
UPPER-80S.  
 

 
   
LONG TERM
 
 
(MONDAY THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)  
ISSUED AT 1020 PM CDT FRI AUG 21 2026  
 
SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES CONTINUE INTO MONDAY, BUT THE  
AFOREMENTIONED TROUGH MOVES EAST BY TUESDAY. WITH RIDGING TO THE  
WEST, NORTHWEST FLOW SETS UP OVER MIDDLE TN THROUGH THE END OF THE  
WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM A FEW DEGREES, BUT WILL STILL BE  
SEASONABLY NORMAL. NORTHWEST FLOW ALSO ALLOWS FOR DAILY LOW TO  
MEDIUM RAIN & THUNDERSTORM CHANCES TO RETURN TUESDAY THROUGH THE  
END OF THE WEEK.  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
 
(06Z TAFS)  
ISSUED AT 1201 AM CDT SAT AUG 22 2026  
 
MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS, HOWEVER FOG WILL BE AN ISSUE FOR CSV/SRB  
FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF NIGHTS. LOOK FOR VLIFR TO LIFR CONDITIONS  
STARTING AROUND 07-08Z FOR EACH WITH IMPROVEMENT BACK TO VFR BY  
13Z. WINDS WILL BE VERY LIGHT TO CALM OVERNIGHT WITH OCCASIONAL  
NORTHWEST GUSTS OF 15-18 KTS ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON.  
 

 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
 
 
NASHVILLE 92 63 88 61 / 10 0 0 0  
CLARKSVILLE 91 63 87 61 / 10 0 0 0  
CROSSVILLE 84 59 81 57 / 10 10 0 0  
COLUMBIA 93 65 90 62 / 10 10 0 0  
COOKEVILLE 86 61 83 59 / 10 0 0 0  
JAMESTOWN 85 61 81 58 / 10 10 0 0  
LAWRENCEBURG 91 64 88 61 / 10 10 0 0  
MURFREESBORO 93 65 89 61 / 10 0 0 0  
WAVERLY 92 65 88 63 / 0 0 0 0  
 

 
   
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
NONE.  
 

 
 

 
 
SHORT TERM...CLEMENTS  
LONG TERM....CLEMENTS  
AVIATION.....UNGER  
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab TN Page Main Text Page