019
FXUS64 KOHX 070519
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1219 AM CDT MON SEP 7 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1219 AM CDT MON SEP 7 2026
- LOW RAIN CHANCES FOR AREAS EAST OF I-65 MONDAY AFTERNOON.
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WITH HIGHS GENERALLY IN THE 90S
EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEK.
- DRY TUESDAY & WEDNESDAY, BUT RAIN CHANCES INCREASE THURSDAY.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1020 PM CDT SUN SEP 6 2026
OVERALL, A QUIET NIGHT IS AHEAD WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT
NORTHERLY WINDS. THIS DOES GIVE A LOW CHANCE FOR PATCHY FOG TONIGHT,
PARTICULARLY ACROSS THE PLATEAU. FOR MONDAY, MIDDLE TN REMAINS
BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE TO THE WEST AND TROUGHING OVER THE EAST. A
WEAK EMBEDDED DISTURBANCE GIVES A LOW CHANCE FOR RAIN & STORMS FOR
AREAS EAST OF I-65 DURING THE AFTERNOON. BUT FOR MOST, IT'LL BE A
DRY LABOR DAY WITH TEMPERATURES A LITTLE COOLER THAN RECENT DAYS.
BUT HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW-90S WILL STILL RUN ABOVE NORMAL. BY
TUESDAY, THE AFOREMENTIONED HIGH SHIFTS BACK OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN
US AND TEMPERATURES WILL WARM IN RESPONSE. LOOK FOR HIGHS ON TUESDAY
TO BE IN THE UPPER-80S FOR THE PLATEAU AND INTO THE LOW AND MID-90S
ELSEWHERE. WITH THE HIGH OVERHEAD, IT'LL BE A DRY DAY.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1020 PM CDT SUN SEP 6 2026
THE HIGH REMAINS IN PLACE ON WEDNESDAY, LEADING TO ANOTHER DRY DAY
AND HIGHS IN THE 90S FOR MOST OF THE AREA. WE'LL HAVE TO WAIT UNTIL
THURSDAY FOR A PATTERN CHANGE AS TROUGHING TO THE NORTH SUPPRESSES
THE HIGH AND SENDS A FRONT SOUTH. MOISTURE WILL BE STREAMING INTO
THE AREA AHEAD OF THIS FRONT, AND RAIN CHANCES CONTINUE TO TREND
UP WITH EACH FORECAST PACKAGE FOR THURSDAY AND NOW RANGE FROM
ABOUT 40 TO 60 PERCENT. FORECAST SOUNDINGS DON'T SHOW MUCH TO BE
CONCERNED WITH RIGHT NOW WITH VERY POOR LAPSE RATES AND SHEAR LESS
THAN 30 KNOTS. LOW TO MEDIUM RAIN CHANCES WILL LINGER FRIDAY AND
INTO THE WEEKEND. AS FAR AS TEMPERATURES GO, THEY'LL COOL SOME
LATE WEEK, BUT WILL STILL BE ABOVE NORMAL.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1219 AM CDT MON SEP 7 2026
VFR CONDITIONS AT MOST TAF SITES THIS TAF PERIOD. SOME FG CAUSING
VSBYS TO DROP TO MVFR COULD OCCUR AT CSV AND SRB IN THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS (10Z), BUT SHOULD CLEAR OUT AROUND 14Z. THE PLATEAU
ALSO COULD SEE SOME SH AND TS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING, BUT
CONFIDENCE IS LOWER. WINDS WILL BE SHIFTING FROM NORTH TO EAST AS
GO INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS OF THE 8TH.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 92 71 92 72 / 0 10 0 0
CLARKSVILLE 90 70 92 71 / 0 0 0 0
CROSSVILLE 85 63 85 62 / 30 10 0 0
COLUMBIA 93 70 93 70 / 0 10 0 0
COOKEVILLE 88 67 88 67 / 30 10 0 0
JAMESTOWN 86 65 86 66 / 20 10 0 0
LAWRENCEBURG 91 68 91 69 / 10 10 0 0
MURFREESBORO 94 70 93 70 / 10 10 0 0
WAVERLY 90 70 91 71 / 0 0 0 0
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...CLEMENTS
LONG TERM....CLEMENTS
AVIATION.....HOLLEY
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