667
FXUS64 KOHX 251051
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
551 AM CDT FRI SEP 25 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 549 AM CDT FRI SEP 25 2026
- PATCHY DENSE FOG IS POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT, ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF
I-40.
- PLEASANT WEATHER THIS WEEKEND WITH SEASONAL TEMPERATURES AND DRY
CONDITIONS.
- WARMER NEXT WEEK WITH LOW RAIN CHANCES RETURNING LATE WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1021 PM CDT THU SEP 24 2026
TEMPERATURES ARE COOLING NICELY TONIGHT WITH MOST SPOTS IN THE MID
TO LOW 60S. CLOUDS HAVE FINALLY SCATTERED OUT SO TEMPERATURES WILL
BE ALLOWED TO DIP DOWN A FEW DEGREES COOLER THAN PREVIOUS NIGHTS.
WINDS WILL RELAX OVERNIGHT AND CLEAR SKIES WILL ALLOW FOR AREAS OF
PATCHY DENSE FOG TO DEVELOP, ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF I-40. FOG WILL BE
MOST COMMON ALONG RIVER VALLEYS, BUT BE CAUTIOUS IF YOU HAVE TO
TRAVEL OVERNIGHT JUST IN CASE. FRIDAY LOOKS PICTURE-PERFECT WITH
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES, A LIGHT NORTHEAST BREEZE, AND LOW HUMIDITY.
OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL DIP INTO THE 40S ON THE PLATEAU WITH LOW TO
MID 50S ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE MID-STATE. WE WILL REMAIN PINNED
BETWEEN RIDGING TO THE WEST AND TROUGHING TO THE EAST THROUGH THE
WEEKEND, KEEPING THINGS DRY WITH TEMPERATURES AROUND SEASONAL
NORMS.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1021 PM CDT THU SEP 24 2026
RIDGING WILL EXPAND WEST OVER OUR ENTIRE AREA TO START THE WEEK,
BUMPING OUR TEMPERATURES BACK UP INTO THE UPPER 80S TO LOW 90S ON
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPING OVER THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA REGION WILL WORKS ITS WAY EAST THROUGH THE WEEK,
EVENTUALLY TRACKING TOWARDS THE SOUTHEAST. THIS WILL BRING LOW TO
MEDIUM 20-40% RAIN CHANCES AREAWIDE BACK INTO THE FORECAST BY THE
END OF THE WEEK, BUT THIS REMAINS A LOW CONFIDENCE FORECAST AS
QUESTIONS REMAINS ABOUT HOW QUICKLY THIS LOW WILL MOVE AND HOW
DEEP IT WILL BE. THERE IS A LARGE SPREAD IN THE NBM QPF GUIDANCE
BECAUSE OF THIS, SO WE'LL HAVE TO WATCH HOW THIS TRACKS AS WE MOVE
INTO NEXT WEEK. WE WOULD CERTAINLY BENEFIT FROM THE RAIN AS ALL
OF MIDDLE TN IS NOW IN SOME FORM OF DROUGHT.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 549 AM CDT FRI SEP 25 2026
LOW STRATUS DECK CONTINUES TO OVERSPREAD THE PLATEAU, WARRANTING
SOME TEMPOS FOR IFR CEILINGS AT CSV AND SRB FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
THE SIGNAL FOR FOG IN THE NEAR TERM HAS DECREASED WITH THE HEAVY
CLOUD COVER. EXPECT THIS TO DISSIPATE BY MID MORNING AND RETURN TO
VFR CONDITIONS AREAWIDE. LIGHT NORTHEAST WINDS PREVAIL.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 82 56 79 56 / 0 0 0 0
CLARKSVILLE 82 54 79 55 / 0 0 0 0
CROSSVILLE 74 47 74 46 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBIA 83 54 82 56 / 0 0 0 0
COOKEVILLE 77 51 76 49 / 0 0 0 0
JAMESTOWN 74 49 73 46 / 0 0 0 0
LAWRENCEBURG 81 52 80 53 / 0 0 0 0
MURFREESBORO 83 53 81 53 / 0 0 0 0
WAVERLY 81 56 78 58 / 0 0 0 10
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...BAGGETT
LONG TERM....BAGGETT
AVIATION.....DIRKES
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page