383
FXUS64 KOHX 261625
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1125 AM CDT SAT SEP 26 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1125 AM CDT SAT SEP 26 2026
- PLEASANT WEATHER WITH SEASONAL TEMPERATURES AND DRY CONDITIONS
THROUGH MONDAY.
- WARMING UP NEXT WEEK WITH MEDIUM RAIN CHANCES DEVELOPING BY THE
WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
(REST OF TODAY THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1125 AM CDT SAT SEP 26 2026
AFTER A MOSTLY SCORCHING SEPTEMBER, A FINE FALL WEEKEND WAS
UNDERWAY. HIGHS EACH DAY WILL REACH THE SEASONABLE MID 70S TO
AROUND 80. LOWS WILL BE A LITTLE ON THE COOL SIDE OF NORMAL WITH
MOSTLY LOWER 50S, EXCEPT 40S PLATEAU AND SHELTERED VALLEYS. THE
AIR WILL BE QUITE DRY AND THIS WILL ALLOW DEW POINT TO MIX DOWN
INTO THE 30S AND 40S EACH AFTERNOON. A 10 MPH NORTH NORTHEAST
BREEZE IS EXPECTED EACH DAY.
THE CURRENT PATTERN IS SPONSORED BY NORTHERLY FLOW BETWEEN A STRONG
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM ALONG THE EAST COAST AND A RIDGE ALONG THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER. THE EAST COAST LOW IS A NOR'EASTER PRODUCING
LOTS OF RAIN, WIND, AND WAVES FROM THE MID ATLANTIC TO NEW
ENGLAND. HERE IS MIDDLE TN, SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WAS IN PLACE
UNDER THE NORTHERLY FLOW. PATCHES OF MID LEVEL CLOUDS WERE
STREAMING DOWN INTO THE AREA, BUT DEEP BLUE SUNNY SKIES WERE SEEN
BETWEEN THE CLOUDS.
THE SUPER TERRIFIC HAPPY PATTERN WILL PERSIST INTO MONDAY KEEPING
OUR WX DRY AND PLEASANT.
LONG TERM
(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1125 AM CDT SAT SEP 26 2026
AS WE GET INTO TUESDAY, THE BIG STORM IN NEW ENGLAND WILL START
TO PULL OFF INTO EASTERN CANADA OPENING THE DOOR FOR HIGH
PRESSURE TO MOVE OUR WAY. AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WILL RESPOND TO
THIS INCREASED RIDGING BY WARMING WELL ABOVE NORMAL MID TO LATE
WEEK.
SMALL RAIN CHANCES WILL CREEP INTO THE FORECAST, BUT I WOULD NOT
COUNT ON MUCH DROUGHT RELIEF THROUGH FRIDAY. THE PATTERN THROUGH
FRIDAY LOOKS DRY FOR MOST OF US AND MODELS ARE NOT CONSISTENT.
RAIN CHANCES DO LOOK MUCH BETTER NEXT WEEKEND, AND SOME MODELS
SHOW A WIDESPREAD SOAKING RAINFALL. BUT, OTHER MODELS DO NOT, SO
WE WILL JUST HAVE TO WAIT AND SEE IF WE CAN LOOK FORWARD TO SOME MUCH-
NEEDED RAINFALL.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 542 AM CDT SAT SEP 26 2026
VFR CONDITIONS AND LIGHT NORTHEAST WINDS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE
TAF PERIOD DUE TO HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT LAKES.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
NASHVILLE 81 55 79 53 / 0 0 0 0
CLARKSVILLE 78 53 76 49 / 0 0 0 0
CROSSVILLE 74 46 75 47 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBIA 80 54 79 50 / 0 0 0 0
COOKEVILLE 76 48 75 49 / 0 0 0 0
JAMESTOWN 74 46 74 47 / 0 0 0 0
LAWRENCEBURG 80 52 78 49 / 0 0 0 0
MURFREESBORO 82 52 80 50 / 0 0 0 0
WAVERLY 79 57 74 52 / 0 0 0 0
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...13
LONG TERM....13
AVIATION.....DIRKES
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