714
FXUS66 KOTX 022119
AFDOTX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOKANE WA
219 PM PDT FRI MAY 2 2025
KEY MESSAGES
-HIGH TEMPERATURES 10 TO 20 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FRIDAY. MINOR
HEATRISK.
-COOLER TEMPERATURES, SHOWERS, AND BREEZY WINDS SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY.
-TEMPERATURES TRENDING WARMER THROUGH FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK.
SYNOPSIS
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN WARM AND DRY FOR TODAY WITH A MINOR
RISK FOR HEAT-RELATED ILLNESSES FOR THOSE EXTREMELY SENSITIVE TO
HEAT. COOLER TEMPERATURES AND SHOWERY CONDITIONS ARE
ANTICIPATED FOR SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. WINDY CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED THROUGH THE CASCADE GAPS ON SATURDAY AND THE OKANOGAN
VALLEY ON SUNDAY. TEMPERATURES TREND WARMER THROUGH THE MIDDLE
OF NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
TODAY AND TOMORROW: IT'S A WARM ONE OUT THERE WITH TEMPERATURES
RANGING FROM THE MID 70S TO LOW 80S AS OF 1PM. IF YOU'RE SOMEONE WHO
ENJOYS THE HEAT AND SUNSHINE, GET OUT AND ENJOY IT WHILE YOU CAN
BECAUSE THINGS ARE LOOKING COOLER AND CLOUDIER HEADING INTO THE
WEEKEND. A COLD FRONT IS ON TRACK TO MOVE OVER THE CASCADES LATE
TONIGHT AND WILL TRACK EASTWARD ACROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT INTO
TOMORROW MORNING BRINGING COOLER TEMPERATURES, BREEZY WINDS, AND
CHANCES FOR SHOWERS. AFTERNOON HIGHS TOMORROW WILL BE AROUND 15
DEGREES COOLER THAN TODAY'S - IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S FOR MOST
LOCATIONS. WINDS WILL START TO PICK UP OUT OF THE WEST THROUGH THE
CASCADE GAPS THIS EVENING AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS AHEAD OF
THE INCOMING FRONT. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF 10 TO 15 MPH AND GUSTS
OF 20 TO 30 MPH ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY
TOMORROW THROUGH THE CASCADE GAPS, OVER EXPOSED AREAS OF THE
COLUMBIA BASIN, AND IN THE SOUTHEAST PART OF THE REGION INCLUDING
PULLMAN, LEWISTON, AND POMEROY. IN ADDITION TO BREEZY WINDS, THE
CASCADES WILL SEE A 30 TO 50% CHANCE OF SHOWERS STARTING TONIGHT. BY
TOMORROW MORNING, SHOWER CHANCES WILL SHIFT OVER THE BASIN, AND BY
TOMORROW AFTERNOON, CHANCES WILL BE HIGHEST OVER EASTERN WA AND THE
ID PANHANDLE. PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS WILL BE LIGHT FOR ANY AREAS THAT
DO GET RAIN WITH PRECIP TOTALS GENERALLY EXPECTED TO BE UNDER A FEW
HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH FOR LOWER ELEVATIONS AND A COUPLE OF TENTHS
FOR MOUNTAIN AREAS.
SUNDAY: SUNDAY WILL FEATURE SIMILAR CONDITIONS TO SATURDAY WITH
REGARD TO TEMPERATURES AND BREEZY WINDS, THOUGH SUNDAY'S WINDS WILL
BE OUT OF THE NORTH AND WILL BE MORE FOCUSED OVER THE OKANOGAN
VALLEY AND NORTHERN COLUMBIA BASIN. SHOWER CHANCES SUNDAY WILL BE
MAINLY CONFINED TO THE ID PANHANDLE SO FOR ANYONE PARTAKING IN
OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES ON SUNDAY WEST OF THE WA/ID BORDER, CONDITIONS
SHOULD STAY DRY.
NEXT WEEK: HEADING INTO THE START OF NEXT WEEK ANOTHER RIDGE WILL
MOVE IN OVER THE INLAND NORTHWEST BRINGING A RETURN OF WARMER AND
DRIER WEATHER. BY WEDNESDAY OF NEXT WEEK, TEMPERATURES WILL BE
SIMILAR TO WHAT WE'RE SEEING TODAY IN THE MID 70S TO MID 80S. BEYOND
WEDNESDAY THERE IS MORE UNCERTAINTY IN THE FORECAST, THOUGH MOST
MODELS ARE SUGGESTING SOME SORT OF TROUGH WILL MOVE IN OVER THE
SECOND HALF OF NEXT WEEK. OVERALL WE'LL STAY IN A PROGRESSIVE
PATTERN WITH A VARIETY OF CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST
PERIOD. /FEWKES
AVIATION
18Z TAFS: THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE FOR VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH
THIS AFTERNOON WITH LIGHT WINDS. WINDS WILL PICK UP OUT OF THE
WEST AT EAT AFTER 03Z THIS EVENING AS A COLD FRONT BEGINS MOVING
INTO THE REGION. HIGH CLOUD COVER WILL INCREASE INTO THE EVENING
AND OVERNIGHT.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND/OR ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: HIGH CONFIDENCE IN
VFR CONDITIONS. SEVERAL ONGOING PRESCRIBED FIRES MAY RESULT IN
SOME HAZE AT TIMES IN THE EARLY MORNING.
-----------------------
CONFIDENCE DESCRIPTORS:
LOW - LESS THAN A 30 PERCENT CHANCE
MODERATE - 30 TO 70 PERCENT CHANCE
HIGH - GREATER THAN A 70 PERCENT CHANCE
FOR ADDITIONAL PROBABILISTIC INFORMATION FOR NWS SPOKANE AIRPORTS,
PLEASE REFER TO THE AVIATION DASHBOARD ON OUR WEBPAGE:
HTTPS:/WWW.WEATHER.GOV/OTX/AVNDASHBOARD
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SPOKANE 49 67 44 63 40 69 / 0 30 20 10 0 0
COEUR D'ALENE 47 68 43 59 38 67 / 0 20 40 30 0 0
PULLMAN 46 62 40 57 36 66 / 0 30 40 20 0 0
LEWISTON 52 70 47 62 43 71 / 0 30 50 20 0 0
COLVILLE 44 68 40 64 35 72 / 10 50 40 20 0 0
SANDPOINT 47 70 45 57 39 67 / 0 30 50 60 10 10
KELLOGG 49 67 43 54 40 65 / 0 20 50 60 10 20
MOSES LAKE 52 68 41 70 43 76 / 20 10 0 0 0 0
WENATCHEE 54 65 42 67 43 76 / 30 10 0 0 0 0
OMAK 52 70 41 68 40 76 / 30 40 10 0 0 0
OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WA...NONE.
ID...NONE.
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