631
FXUS66 KOTX 271750
AFDOTX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOKANE WA
1050 AM PDT FRI JUN 27 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- BREEZY WINDS ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN WASHINGTON TODAY.
- SCATTERED AFTERNOON SHOWERS OVER THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS
TODAY, WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS NEAR THE
CANADIAN BORDER.
- MUCH WARMER TEMPERATURES SUNDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH
MODERATE AND MAJOR HEATRISK ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY.
SYNOPSIS
A WEAK WEATHER SYSTEM WILL USHER IN BREEZY WINDS TODAY, WITH
SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS. TEMPERATURES WILL
TREND MUCH WARMER FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK AS HIGH TEMPERATURES WARM
INTO MAINLY THE 90S ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL
COOL SLIGHTLY FOR THE MIDDLE TO END OF NEXT WEEK BUT WILL REMAIN ABOVE
NORMAL.
DISCUSSION
TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY: THE INLAND NW WILL REMAIN IN A WESTERLY
FLOW WITH ADDITIONAL MID LEVEL DISTURBANCES TRACKING THROUGH. FOR
TODAY EASTERN WA/N IDAHO WILL REMAIN ON THE COOL/UNSTABLE SIDE OF
THE UPPER JET WITH THE JET AXIS RUNNING ALONG THE WA/OR BORDER.
YET WITH LIMITED MOISTURE CONVECTIVE SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
SCATTERED IN NATURE, AND CONFINED TO THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS. A
STRAY THUNDERSTORMS IS ALSO POSSIBLE ALONG THE CANADIAN BORDER. ON
SATURDAY WHILE THE WESTERLY FLOW CONTINUES, THE JET AXIS LIFTS
NORTH ALONG THE CANADIAN BORDER. THIS WILL RESULT IN SLIGHTLY
WARMER AND MORE STABLE CONDITIONS. THE ZONAL FLOW WILL ALLOW FOR
BREEZY CONDITIONS TODAY, BUT NOTHING OUT OF THE ORDINARY BY INLAND
NW STANDARDS WITH GUSTS OF 15-25 MPH, LOCALLY TO NEAR 30 MPH
AROUND THE WENATCHEE AREA.
SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY: A RAPID WARMUP IS EXPECTED SUNDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY DUE TO WARMER SOUTHWEST FLOW IN BETWEEN A LOW IN THE GULF
OF ALASKA AND AN UPPER RIDGE CENTERED NEAR THE ROCKY MOUNTAIN
DIVIDE. HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO REACH THE 90S FOR MOST
AREAS ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY, EXCEPT NEAR 100F FOR THE HOTTEST
SPOTS INCLUDE WENATCHEE AND LEWISTON. AFTER THAT THE ENSEMBLE
MEANS SHOW THE FLOW TURNING MORE ZONAL AS THE GULF OF ALASKA
SLOWLY NUDGES TOWARDS THE AREA. THIS WOULD HELP DROP THE
TEMPERATURES SOME, BUT STILL REMAINING ABOVE NORMAL WITH HIGHS IN
THE MID 80S TO MID 90S WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. DURING THE PERIOD
OF TRANSITION TO SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES, THE ENSEMBLE MEANS
ARE DRAWING UP SOME INCREASED MOISTURE FROM CONVECTION OVER OREGON
INTO SE WA/ID PANHANDLE TUE NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. CURRENTLY THE
NBM IS ONLY ADVERTISING A 10-15% CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS
BUT THIS WILL BE MONITORED HEADING INTO NEXT WEEK. JW
AVIATION
18Z TAFS: VFR CONDITONS EXPECTED ACROSS TAF SITES. MAIN
AVIATION CONCERN THIS PERIOD WILL BE THE BREEZY WINDS OF
10-15MPH WHICH WILL GUST TO 15-25MPH THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
BEFORE TAPERING OFF OVERNIGHT.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND/OR ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: HIGH CONFIDENCE
OF VFR CONDITIONS FOR ALL TAF SITES. HIGH CONFIDENCE IN BREEZY
CONDITIONS TODAY.
-----------------------
CONFIDENCE DESCRIPTORS:
LOW - LESS THAN A 30 PERCENT CHANCE
MODERATE - 30 TO 70 PERCENT CHANCE
HIGH - GREATER THAN A 70 PERCENT CHANCE
FOR ADDITIONAL PROBABILISTIC INFORMATION FOR NWS SPOKANE
AIRPORTS, PLEASE REFER TO THE AVIATION DASHBOARD ON OUR
WEBPAGE: HTTPS:/WWW.WEATHER.GOV/OTX/AVNDASHBOARD
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SPOKANE 77 52 80 53 87 57 / 0 0 0 0 0 0
COEUR D'ALENE 75 52 77 52 85 56 / 10 10 0 0 0 0
PULLMAN 74 47 75 49 84 53 / 0 0 0 0 0 0
LEWISTON 83 58 85 58 92 61 / 0 0 0 0 0 0
COLVILLE 74 42 77 43 85 48 / 40 10 0 0 0 0
SANDPOINT 71 50 75 47 82 51 / 40 20 10 0 0 0
KELLOGG 71 55 73 55 81 59 / 20 10 0 0 0 0
MOSES LAKE 81 50 85 53 91 59 / 0 0 0 0 0 0
WENATCHEE 79 57 82 58 90 66 / 0 0 0 0 0 0
OMAK 79 50 82 53 90 58 / 10 0 0 0 0 0
OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WA...NONE.
ID...NONE.
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